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The Art of Conjecture
The Art of Conjecture
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The Art of Conjecture

by Bertrand de Jouvenel, Nikita Lary. 307 pgs.

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publication details

Contributors:

   Bertrand de Jouvenel, Nikita Lary

Publisher:

   Basic Books

Place of Publication:

  New York  

Publication Year:

  1967
Subjects:   Prediction (Logic)
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Questia Books and Articles on Similar Subjects
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books on: (Prediction Logic)  - 21480 results

       More book Results: 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 >>  
 
1.
The Pursuit of Destiny: A History of Prediction
Book by Paul Halpern; Perseus Publishing, 2000
Subjects: Forecasting, Prediction (Logic)
...by "misses." Although some predictions made decades ago have proven...science and the cradle of logic, the mysterious power of prophecy...while she was delivering her predictions? In modern times, historians...Unlike modern scientific prediction methods, it fails to distinguish...
2.
The Art of Conjecture
Book by Nikita Lary, Bertrand de Jouvenel; Basic Books, 1967
Subjects: Prediction (Logic)
...concern to link together efforts of prediction. On the one hand, we at Futuribles...since published as "Twelve Modes of Prediction A Preliminary Sorting of Approaches...Part II Of Predictions 8. Predictions...
3.
Causation, Prediction, and Legal Analysis
Book by Stuart S. Nagel; Quorum Books, 1986
Subjects: Causation, Criminal Justice, Administration Of--United States, Justice, Administration Of--United States, Prediction Theory
...Case Prediction by Percentaging and Further Logic 207...applications of deductive-rational prediction are discussed in the same...add further to the organized logic of this book, one might note...
4.
Assessment, Measurement, and Prediction for Personnel Decisions
Book by Robert M. Guion; Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1998
Subjects: Employees--Rating Of, Employment Tests, Personnel Management--Decision Making, Prediction Of Occupational Success
...program would also teach the limits of predictions based on an expectancy chart. It should...or trivially different scores. The logic of the procedure is that decision makers...enhanced immeasurably if two or more predictions or probability statements are not compatible...
5.
Mental Logic
Book by Martin D. S. Braine, David P. O'Brien; Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1998
Subjects: Logic, Reasoning
...if one wants to make online predictions. The next five chapters deal...theory--mental propositional logic--the part on which most empirical...theory for a mental predicate logic and compares its predictions with those of Ripss logic. Chapter...
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journal articles on: (Prediction Logic)  - 2194 results

       More journal Results: 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 >>  
 
1.
Why Behave? the Problem of Initiating Causes and the Goals of Prediction and Control
Journal article by Geir Overskeid; The Psychological Record, Vol. 56, 2006
Subjects: Cognitive psychology--Research, Explanation--Research, Human acts--Research, Human behavior--Research, Prediction (Logic)--Research
...it follows as a matter of logic that the private event can...what is necessary to achieve prediction and control. The third criterion...entirely clear and unambiguous. Prediction and Control In the 1960s and...one is, however, basing ones prediction on the assumed existence of...
2.
Rao-Cramer Type Inequalities for Mean Squared Error of Prediction
Journal article by Tapan K. Nayak; The American Statistician, Vol. 56, 2002
Subjects: Prediction (Logic)--Statistics
...inequalities for mean squared error of prediction. by Tapan K. Nayak 1. INTRODUCTION...is to discuss similar results for the prediction problem. For convenience of exposition...function, which plays a fundamental role in prediction theory. In particular, if theta is known...
3.
Comparing Statistical and Machine Learning Classifiers: Alternatives for Predictive Modeling in Human Factors Research
Journal article by Brian Carnahan, Gerard Meyer, Lois-Ann Kuntz; Human Factors, Vol. 45, 2003
Subjects: Human information processing, Machine learning, Mathematical analysis, Prediction (Logic)
...Figure 2, the decision tree made its prediction of passing or failing the CDL examination...curriculum area scores when making its prediction of CDL examination outcome. The parse...curriculum area scores in order to make its prediction. The decision and parse trees corresponding...
4.
Spatio-Temporal Interpolation and Fuzzy Logic for GIS Simulation of Rural-to-Urban Transition
Journal article by Suzana Dragicevic, Danielle J. Marceau; Cartography and Geographic Information Science, Vol. 26, 1999
Subjects: Fuzzy logic--Usage, Geographic information systems--Research, Space and time--Measurement
...concepts of fuzzy logic are illustrated...extrapolation, i.e., in a prediction processes. These...applications of fuzzy logic are in forestry...Smith 1992), in the prediction of slope stability...Slope stability prediction. International Journal...Marceau. 1997. Fuzzy logic in spatio-temporal...
5.
Bankruptcy Prediction: Application of Logit Analysis in Export Credit Risks
Journal article by Li-Chiu Chi, Tseng-Chung Tang; Australian Journal of Management, Vol. 31, 2006
Subjects: Bankruptcy--Analysis, Bankruptcy--Forecasts and trends, Export credit--Forecasts and trends, Risk assessment--Analysis
...Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy, Journal of Accounting...risks: comparisons of Logit and Fuzzy Logic models using ROC curve analysis, Expert...the estimation of financial distress prediction models, Journal of Accounting Research...
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magazine articles on: (Prediction Logic)  - 183 results

       More magazine Results: 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 >>  
 
1.
Kids + Conjecture = Mathematics Power
Magazine article by Danise Cantlon; Teaching Children Mathematics, Vol. 5, October 1998
Subjects: Mathematics teachers--Methods, Mathematics--Study and teaching, Prediction (Logic)--Usage
2.
Some like It Hot: Global Warming Is Not Just a Scientific Prediction - It's Also a Hot Political Football
Magazine article by Jim Motavalli; E, Vol. 7, January 1996
Subjects: Atmospheric carbon dioxide--Environmental aspects, Global warming--Analysis
...encephalitis and yellow fever. Should we worry about these dramatic predictions? Not according to Thomas Gale Moore, a senior fellow at the...warming would in general be beneficial for mankind. Simple logic indicates that most of modern mans activities would be unaffected...
3.
A Friend like Peter: The Logic of Forgiveness: Forgiveness Is Ultimately Grounded Not in the Logic of the Second Chance, but in the Logic of Resurrection
Magazine article by Samuel Wells; The Christian Century, Vol. 124, February 6, 2007
Subjects: Christian theology--Analysis, Forgiveness--Analysis, Forgiveness--Religious aspects
...faithfulness ("I will never fall away") and Jesus prediction that Peters fall will be sudden ("this very night...Peter still cannot quite realize that Jesus logic is unassailable. Jesus" logic is the logic of resurrection--a logic unique to...
4.
Thatcherism, Logic and the Law
Magazine article by Anthony Blair; New Statesman, Vol. 135, September 11, 2006
Subjects: Labor unions--Excerpts, Labor unions--Laws, regulations and rules, Labor unions--Political activity, Labor unions--United Kingdom, Political parties--Excerpts, Political parties--Social policy, Political parties--United Kingdom, United Kingdom--Social policy
...why bother with special courts and special law when the ordinary courts and the common law will do the job? The one sure prediction is that, once again, it will be breakfast, dinner and tea for the lawyers and nothing short of disaster for everyone else...
5.
The Logic of Suicide Terrorism
Magazine article by Bruce Hoffman; The Atlantic Monthly, Vol. 291, June 2003
Subjects: Al-Qaeda--Planning, Bombings--Planning, Bombings--Psychological aspects, Islamic fundamentalism--Military aspects, Israel--Military aspects, Israel--Social aspects, Security systems industry, Terrorism--Psychological aspects, Terrorism--Social aspects, Terrorist organizations--Planning, United States--Military aspects, United States--Social aspects
...and, by implication, other Americans--face the same threat. "This stuff is going to be imported over here." he declared--a prediction that Vice President Dick Cheney and FBI Director Robert Mueller had already made. In March, Secretary of Homeland Security...
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newspaper articles on: (Prediction Logic)  - 67 results

       More newspaper Results: 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 >>  
 
1.
Charity Prediction League
Newspaper article; The Daily Mail (London, England), November 10, 2007
Subjects: Charities
Charity Prediction League. JAMIE MURRAY was on the money last week and extended Sports...totesport.com at the end of the season ... James Richardson Against all logic, Im going for a 2-1 Sunderland win (8/1). Liverpool to beat Derby 4-1...
2.
China's Dire Prediction
Newspaper article; The Washington Times, February 4, 2007
Chinas Dire Prediction. Byline: Arnaud de Borchgrave, THE WASHINGTON TIMES China is making...than matched Chinas arsenal of cyberweapons from ultra-sophisticated logic bombs, to Trojan horses, worms, viruses and denial-of-service decoys...
3.
Daily Post Comment: Galloway's Logic Warped by Hatred
Newspaper article; Daily Post (Liverpool, England), August 18, 2004
...quarrel. Not just disagreeable, but illogical (or with the logic of a fanatic), as he claims hed be only too happy to see US...bloodshed just so his hatred of America is appeased. His prediction that democratic elections planned for January will not take...
4.
Fence Post
Newspaper article; Daily Herald (Arlington Heights, IL), February 27, 2004
...Post. Anti-gay marriage stance lacks logic Many months ago, I read a prediction that once the Democrats began to decide on...and might be held accountable. This strategy prediction proved to be absolutely on target, and lately...
5.
TOMORROW, at Exactly 11 Minutes
Newspaper article; The Daily Mail (London, England), July 16, 2007
...force that seems to followno logic. You still trust your instinct...recorded your newin-depth prediction. Life is about to bring you...recorded your new in-depth prediction. It contains the answer toyour...While recording your latest prediction, an excitingnew possibility...
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encyclopedia articles on: (Prediction Logic)  - 1 result

 
 
1.
Science
Encyclopedia article; The Columbia Encyclopedia, Sixth Edition, 2007
...in turn leads by deductive logic to a number of implications...statistical methods to the prediction of its behavior. Innovations...measurements and thus on the predictions that may be made on the basis...mathematics and mathematical logic. Even a detailed account of...


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