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The Party's Choice
The Party's Choice
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The Party's Choice

by William R. Keech, Donald R. Matthews. 258 pgs.

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publication details

Contributors:

   William R. Keech, Donald R. Matthews

Publisher:

   Brookings Institution

Place of Publication:

  Washington  

Publication Year:

  1976
Subjects:   Presidents--United States--Nomination
Table of contents
1. THE PRESIDENTIAL POSSIBILITY 1
The Complexity of Nominating Decisions 2
Patterns of the Nominating Process 3
The Good Candidate 5
The Media and Money 9
The Range of Choice 14
The Structure of Political Opportunities 19
Good Candidates and Good Presidents 31
II. THE INCUMBENT LEADER 32
Roosevelt and a Third Term: 1940 34
Truman's Low Prestige: 1948 38
Truman's Search for a Successor: 1952 41
Eisenhower's Illness: 1956 45
The Twenty-second Amendment: 1960 47
The Dump-Johnson Movement: 1968 50
III. THE STRUGGLE FOR A FOLLOWING 52
The Early Leader Wins the Nomination 55
Two Strong Contestants: 1948 , 1952 71
No Clear Leader: 1940, 1964 77
The Early Leader Fails: 1972 84
IV. CONFIRMING THE LEADER 91
The Impact of the Primaries 96
Present and Future President: 1936, 1940, 1944, 1956, 1972 97
Confirming the Inheritance: 1948, 1964 99
Confirming the Heir: 1960 101
Primaries Can Matter: 1912, 1968 101
V. THE IMPACT OF THE PRIMARIES 111
The Early Leader Wins the Nomination 114
Two Strong Contenders: 1948, 1952 126
No Clear Leader: 1940, 1964 134
The Early Leader Fails: 1972 144
VI. THE CONVENTION'S DECISION 157
Consensual Nominations 160
Semiconsensual Nominations 162
Nonconsensual Nominations 166
Influencing the Decision 212
VII. THE BEST POSSIBLE CANDIDATE 214
The Characteristics of Presidential Nominees 215
Who Is a Presidential Possibility? 222
The Early, Informal Nominating Stage 227
The Formal, Legal Nominating Process 228
Reform 241
INDEX 251
TABLES
1-1. Number of Persons Who Polled at Least 1 Percent Support for Presidential Nomination, by Party and Stage of Nominating Process, 1936-72 16
1-2. Number of Persons Who Polled at Least z Percent Support for Presidential Nomination in Consecutive Election Years, by Party, 1936-72 17
1-3. Distribution of Nominees and Those Who Polled at Least 1 Percent Support for Presidential Nomination, by Latest Public Office Held, 1936-72 18
1-4. Distribution of Senators and Governors Who Polled at Least 1 Percent Support for Presidential Nomination, by Length of Service, 1936-72 24
1-5. Distribution of All Senators and Governors Who Polled at Least 1 Percent Support for President among Fellow Partisans, by Party and Size of State, 1936-72 25
1-6. Distribution of Cabinet Officers Who Polled at Least 1 Percent Support for Presidential Nomination, by Period of Service and Office, 1936-72 29
6-1. Strength of Willkie Gains on Each Ballot at the 1940 Republican Convention 169
6-2. Net Shifts in Delegate Voting between the First and Second Ballots at the 1948 Republican Convention 176
6-3. Second-Ballot Votes for Presidential Candidates at the 1948 Republican Convention, by Ideological Alignment 176
6-4. First-Ballot Vote for Eisenhower and Taft at the 1952 Republican Convention, by Delegation Selection Procedure 178
6-5. First-Ballot Vote for Presidential Candidates at the 1952 Republican Convention, by Governor's Commitment and Delegate Selection Procedure 180
6-6. First-Ballot Vote for Presidential Candidates at the 1952 Republican Convention, by Delegate Selection Procedure and Ideological Alignment 184
6-7. Second-Ballot Vote for Kefauver at the 1952 Democratic Convention, by His Standings in Primaries 186
6-8. Vote for Goldwater at the 1964 Republican Convention, by Control of State Governorship and Delegate Selection Procedure 195
6-9. First-Ballot Vote for Humphrey, McCarthy, and McGovern at the 1968 Democratic Convention, by Each Candidate's Standings in Primaries 199
6-10. First-Ballot Vote for Presidential Candidates at the 1968 Democratic Convention, by Ideological Alignment 199
6-11. Total of Delegate Votes Won by McGovern, Humphrey, and Wallace in Primary States, May 22, 1972 203
7-1. Presidential: Nominees' Percentage of Delegate Votes on the Decisive Ballot 232
7-2. Possible Effects of Various Apportionments of Delegate Votes on Critical Roll Calls at the Three Closest Conventions since 1936 237
7-3. County Chairman and Rank-and-File Preferences for Presidential Nominee in the Final Gallup Poll, 1952-72 Elections 238
FIGURES
1-1. Pattern of Public Office Holding by Presidential Nominees, 1936-72 20
4-1. Preferences of Democratic Rank and File for 1952 Presidential Candidates 104
5-1. Preferences of Democratic Rank and File for 1956 Presidential Candidates 120
5-2. Preferences of Republican Rank and File for 1948 Presidential Candidates 128
5-3. Preferences of Republican Rank and File for 1952 Presidential Candidates 132
5-4. Preferences of Republican Rank and File for 1940 Presidential Candidates 136
5-5. Preferences of Republican Rank and File for 1964 Presidential Candidates 140
5-6. Preferences of Democratic Rank and File for 1972 Presidential Candidate. 149
6-1. Votes for Presidential Candidates on Six Ballots at the Republican Convention, 1940 169
6-2. Voting on Successive Ballots of Twelve State Delegations Carried on the First Ballot by Dewey at the 1940 Republican Convention 171
6-3. Voting on Successive Ballots of Eleven State Delegations Carried by Minor Candidates on the First Ballot at the 1940 Republican Convention 172
6-4. Vote for Presidential Candidates on Three Ballots at the 1948 Repuhlican Convention 174
6-5. Shifts in Delegates' Support for 1968 Democratic Presidential Candidates 200
6-6. Growth of Delegate Support for 1972 Democratic Presidential Candidates 205
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United States
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Supreme Court, United States
Encyclopedia article; The Columbia Encyclopedia, Sixth Edition, 2007
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