The Journal of Business Forecasting Methods & Systems

Articles from Vol. 13, No. 1, Spring

Divergence in Inflationary Expectations Destabilizes Financial Markets
I. ECONOMIC OUTLOOKIn our revised forecast for the global economy, output is projected to grow by 2.2% this year and then to accelerate only modestly to 2.6% next year. This would result in an average growth in world output rate of 1.6% per year during...
Forecasting and the Continuous Replenishment Craze of the 1990s
Grocery chains do it. Retail stores do it. All the giant mass merchandisers do it. Even leading edge manufacturers are starting to do it. Peter Drucker probably would call it the 'Wal-Mart effect' which means that a purchase by an end-user triggers upstream...
Forecasting Color Demand at Ciba-Geigy
The long lead times associated with making synthetic organic dyes make it difficult to respond adequately to the vagaries of fashion. This article describes how Bob Brown helped us not only to install but also to implement a solution to this problem....
Forecasting Winter Daily Natural Gas Demand at Vermont Gas Systems
On a cold Vermont winter day, the customers of Vermont Gas Systems need a dependable source of fuel to heat their homes and businesses.Vermont Gas Systems is a natural gas utility with approximately 26,000 residential, business and industrial customers...
How Metromedia Steakhouses Company, L.P. Decided to Invest in Multiple Regression
Metromedia Steakhouses Company, L.P., is the operator and franchisor ofthe Ponderosa and Bonanza Steakhouse chains. Two years ago, the Financial Planning and Analysis Department redefined its mission. We set out to gain a full understanding of what was...
U.S. Corporate Earnings Forecast: Major Market Indexes
The March survey of 2,400 security analysts affiliated with nearly 200 institutional brokerage and research firms, conducted by the Institutional Brokers Estimate System (I/B/E/S--U.S. edition), is forecasting an 18.3% increase in U.S. corporate operating...
U.S. Economic and Industrial Outlook: Kent Model Forecasts
Forecast data call for a continuous expansion of the economy this year, the next year and beyond. There are no indications of a serious downturn. The rest of this year and the next year, the growth of the economy is expected to slow down compared to...
Utility Forecasts: The State of the Art
Gulf States Utilities conducted a survey of forecasting professionals at utilities around North America. The survey was conducted in cooperation with the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), a research consortium of electric utilities that provides...