A Reliably Assertive Supreme Court

Article excerpt

On the final day of the US Supreme Court's annual term last Thursday, news headlines heralded a momentous court ruling. But they were not for a decision handed down by the Supreme Court; they were from the intermediate-rank US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia circuit, in the widely heralded case of US v. Microsoft Corp.

Probably never before has the US Supreme Court been trumped by a lower court on the final day of its term. But that event illuminates an important point that all too often is overlooked by many commentators: Today's US Supreme Court, its December 2000 decision in Bush v. Gore notwithstanding, usually behaves in stable and predictable ways. What news it makes is of relatively modest import, and when it does surprise us, as it did in several notable decisions this past term, the rulings rarely draw sustained attention or criticism.

Today's Supreme Court has gone seven years without a change in membership, ever since junior Justice Stephen Breyer replaced the retiring Harry Blackmun in 1994. Chief Justice William Rehnquist has presided over the court for 15 years, and neither Chief Justice Rehnquist nor any of his eight colleagues shows any signs of yearning to retire. Rumors to the contrary, whether about Rehnquist or either of the court's two most senior associate justices, John Paul Stevens and Sandra Day O'Connor, were especially rife over the past five months, but it is quite possible that another two full years will pass before President Bush gets to make his first appointment to America's highest court.

In the 80 cases that the justices heard over the past nine months, nonunanimous decisions once again followed a pattern that has become extremely common over the past seven years. If the court was split 5 to 4, it remained a safe bet that the narrow majority was composed of the chief justice and Justices O'Connor, Antonin Scalia, Anthony Kennedy, and Clarence Thomas. The predictable minority was Justices Stevens, David Souter, Ruth Ginsburg, and Breyer. Only if that "liberal" quartet could attract the potential "swing votes" of either O'Connor or Justice Kennedy could they prevail. In a North Carolina racial districting case, Hunt v. Cromartie, the quartet prevailed thanks to O'Connor; in a notable case concerning legal representation, Legal Services Corp. v. Valezquez, the "liberal" quartet won the controlling vote of Kennedy.

Oftentimes the court's most intriguing decisions are those where these common alignments evaporate. In Atwater v. City of Lago Vista, Justice Souter joined four of the conservatives to uphold the arrest of a woman charged only with failing to buckle her seat belt, while O'Connor authored an impassioned dissent that was joined by the other three liberals. And in Kyllo v. United States, an unusual, both-ends-against-the-middle majority - composed of Justices Scalia, Thomas, Souter, Ginsburg, and Breyer - held that law enforcement's use of a thermal imaging device to detect indoor, home-grown marijuana cultivation violated the 4th Amendment's prohibition of unreasonable searches. …