By David T. Cook writer of The Christian Science Monitor
The Christian Science Monitor
With congressional elections looming, politicians from both parties are worried about how the stock market's tumble will affect voters.
So when President Bush and Congress return to Washington after Labor Day, there will be a new item on the economic agenda: whether to enact tax-law changes intended to rebuild investor confidence.
The president told reporters last Friday at his ranch in Crawford, Texas, that he was "thinking about all options" for a new economic package. "When I announce them, it will be well thought out. It will be part of a long-term plan," he said.
Not to be left behind, Democrats are working on their own alternatives.
As a result, economists and interest groups are already marshaling arguments for and against the idea of confidence- boosting tax cuts. The debate centers on whether government action is needed, what measures would most effective, and how much the Treasury can afford.
What could happen
The steps the president said he was considering include:
* Increasing the current $3,000 annual limit on investment losses that can be deducted from federal income taxes.
* Speeding up planned increases in the amount that workers can contribute to their individual retirement accounts and 401(k) plans.
* Reducing the double taxation of corporate dividends, which the taxman clips both as corporate profits and again when they flow into investor pockets as dividends.
* Lowering the rate at which profits (capital gains) on the sale of stock are taxed.
Democrats favor their own ideas, which include the possibility of giving retirees more time before they are required to start taking minimum withdrawals from their 401(k) plans. This would help individuals rebuild balances in retirement accounts hard hit by the stock market's plunge. Another Democratic option is increasing the length of unemployment insurance.
Confidence-boosting tax-law changes are far from a given. The schedule is tight for getting new legislation enacted before lawmakers leave town in advance of the Nov. 5 election. "Congress has a full plate from now until the election," notes Dorothy Coleman, vice president for tax policy at the National Association of Manufacturers. A key concern for the NAM is seeing that any tax- law changes don't include "any offsetting tax increases."
In addition to scheduling issues, there is the matter of affordability. This week, the Congressional Budget Office will release new figures on the federal budget deficit for 2003, which are expected to show $50 billion more in red ink than the $109 billion the Bush administration is predicting. …