Conventional Forces and the Outcome of the War of Sanctions Iraq’s current military weakness does not deprive it of its ability to fight a number of types of war that do not involve committing major forces against the organized opposition of Western and Southern Gulf forces. Iraq can fight irregular or unconventional forms of war. The use of third-party terrorists, extremists, and proxies offers Iraq both a means of revenge and far more security than large-scale military action, as does playing a spoiler role at the political level, and financing political rivals to its enemies in the southern Gulf and the rest of the Arab world. Iraq would also make an exceptionally dangerous partner if it could ever forge any kind of lasting cooperation with Iran or Syria. A number of types of military conflict remain possible, and typical scenarios could include:
|• clashes with Turkey or Iran over Iraqi efforts to attack its Kurds, or support of Kurds hostile to Turkey and Iran; |
|• mid-intensity conflict with the United States over a major Iraqi attack on the Kurds in the Kurdish security zone; |
|• war with the Kurds in the Kurdish security zone; |
|• war with Turkey over Turkish incursions into northern Iraq; cooperation with Turkey in suppressing the Kurds; |
|• alliance/cooperation with Syria, the Palestinian Authority, and/or Jordan in a future Arab-Israeli conflict or in breaking out of the ‘‘US-Israeli encirclement’’;
|• conflict with Iran over Iraqi treatment of the Shi’ites in southern Iraq, and/or Iranian attacks on the Iraqi front group, the People’s Mujahideen; |
|• cooperation with Iran in attempts to pressure some combination of the Southern Gulf |
Questia, a part of Gale, Cengage Learning. www.questia.com
Book title: Iraq and the War of Sanctions:Conventional Threats and Weapons of Mass Destruction.
Contributors: Anthony H. Cordesman - Author.
Place of publication: Westport, CT.
Publication year: 1999.
Page number: 166.
This material is protected by copyright and, with the exception of fair use, may
not be further copied, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means.