Politics in An Era of Divided Government: Elections and Goverance in the Second Clinton Administration

By Harvey L. Schantz | Go to book overview

NOTES
1.
Examples of this assessment include Everett C. Ladd, “The Status-Quo Election: An Introduction,” The Public Perspective 8 (December/January 1997), 4-5; and Larry J. Sabato, “The November Vote—A Status Quo Election,” in Toward the Millennium: The Elections of 1996, ed. Sabato, (Boston: Allyn and Bacon, 1997), 143-161.
2.
Typical of these stories was Katharine Q. Seelye, “In Blistering Attack, Dole Says Clinton Is Using Scare Tactics,” NYT, September 27, 1996, A22; and Spencer S. Hsu and Ellen Nakashiuna, “GOP Says Foes Using ‘Mediscare,’” WP, October 30, 1996, B6.
3.
William F. Connelly Jr. and John J. Pitney Jr., Congress’ Permanent Minority? Republicans in the U.S. House (Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Littlefield, 1994).
4.
Roger H. Davidson, David M. Kovenock, and Michael K. O’Leary, Congress in Crisis: Politics and Congressional Reform (Belmont, Ca.: Wadsworth, 1966), 53, Table 2.5.
5.
Gallup Poll, “Confidence in Institutions,” news release, August 15, 1997, 4-5.
6.
Dave Kaplan and Julianna Gruenwald, “The House: Longtime ‘Second’ Party Scores a Long List of GOP Firsts,” CQWR, November 12, 1994, 3232-3239.
7.
Speaker O’Neill’s phrase, “All Politics is Local” was the title of the opening chapter of his 1987 autobiography, Man of the House: The Life and Political Memoirs of Speaker Tip O’Neill (New York: Random House, 1987). The book was written with William Novak. He also used the phrase again in the title of another book, Thomas P. O’Neill Jr., with Gary Hymel, All Politics is Local and Other Rules of the Game (New York: Times Books, 1994).
8.
Among some of the titles were: “The American Dream Restoration Act,” “The Taking Back Our Streets Act,” and “The Family Reinforcement Act,” in Contract With America: The Bold Plan by Rep. Newt Gingrich, Rep. Dick Armey, and the House Republicans to Change the Nation (New York: Times Books, 1994).
9.
James A. Finefrock, “The Republican Tsunami,” San Francisco Examiner, December 9, 1994, A-11. Among the more evocative descriptions were “Stampede!,” the cover story for Time, November 21, 1994, 46-49ff; J. Weisberg, “After the Deluge,” New York, November 14, 1994, 28ff.; Meg Greenfield, “After the Big One,” Newsweek, November 21, 1994, 108; and R. Lacayo, “After the Revolution,” Time, November 28, 1994, 28-33.
10.
“Man of the Year: Newt Gingrich,” Time, December 25, 1995, 20ff.
11.
Political scientists have tried to dispel this notion; see Lyn Ragsdale, “The Fiction of Congressional Elections as Presidential Events,” APQ 8 (October 1980): 375-398. However, political writers continue to foster the belief in the linkage. A smattering of midterm election analyses supports this point; see L. Walczak, “How 1986 Changes the Presidential Race,” Business Week, November 17, 1986, 8; Gus Tyler, “Straws in the American Political Winds,” The New Leader 73 (November 12-26, 1990): 10-12; M. Kelly, “Why the President is in Trouble,” Reader’s Digest,

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