Rethinking Governance of the Army's Arsenals and Ammunition Plants

By W. Michael Hix; Ellen M. Pint et al. | Go to book overview

Appendix C
MODEL OF GOCO COMPETITION WITH UNCERTAINTY

This appendix provides the underlying mathematical calculations for the model of GOCO competition with uncertainty discussed in Chapter Five. When the operator of Iowa AAP does not know the exact costs of its competitors, it must calculate a bid that trades off higher profits when it wins the production contract against an increased probability that it loses the contract because one of its competitors enters a lower bid. Thus, it calculates a bid that maximizes expected profits. Suppose the operator of Iowa AAP knows that it can LAP 100,000 artillery shells at a cost of $100 per shell, but it thinks its competitors' costs are uniformly distributed between $110 and $130 per shell.

Let b stand for Iowa AAP's bid in the production contract competition and E[[.pi]] stand for its expected profits. When there is one other competitor, Iowa AAP wins the contract with the probability that its bid is less than its competitor's costs, or 1 (b 110)/(130 110), which can be rewritten as (130 b)/20. Therefore, Iowa AAP chooses b to maximize

The first-order condition for the profit-maximizing bid is

which has a solution of b = 115. If Iowa AAP bids $115 per shell, it wins the production contract with probability (130 115)/20 =. 75. Thus, expected

-213-

Notes for this page

Add a new note
If you are trying to select text to create highlights or citations, remember that you must now click or tap on the first word, and then click or tap on the last word.
One moment ...
Project items

Items saved from this book

This book has been saved
Highlights (0)
Some of your highlights are legacy items.

Highlights saved before July 30, 2012 will not be displayed on their respective source pages.

You can easily re-create the highlights by opening the book page or article, selecting the text, and clicking “Highlight.”

Citations (0)
Some of your citations are legacy items.

Any citation created before July 30, 2012 will labeled as a “Cited page.” New citations will be saved as cited passages, pages or articles.

We also added the ability to view new citations from your projects or the book or article where you created them.

Notes (0)
Bookmarks (0)

You have no saved items from this book

Project items include:
  • Saved book/article
  • Highlights
  • Quotes/citations
  • Notes
  • Bookmarks
Notes
Cite this page

Cited page

Style
Citations are available only to our active members.
Sign up now to cite pages or passages in MLA, APA and Chicago citation styles.

(Einhorn, 1992, p. 25)

(Einhorn 25)

1

1. Lois J. Einhorn, Abraham Lincoln, the Orator: Penetrating the Lincoln Legend (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1992), 25, http://www.questia.com/read/27419298.

Cited page

Bookmark this page
Rethinking Governance of the Army's Arsenals and Ammunition Plants
Settings

Settings

Typeface
Text size Smaller Larger
Search within

Search within this book

Look up

Look up a word

  • Dictionary
  • Thesaurus
Please submit a word or phrase above.
Print this page

Print this page

Why can't I print more than one page at a time?

Full screen
/ 317

matching results for page

Cited passage

Style
Citations are available only to our active members.
Sign up now to cite pages or passages in MLA, APA and Chicago citation styles.

"Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences." (Einhorn, 1992, p. 25).

"Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences." (Einhorn 25)

"Portraying himself as an honest, ordinary person helped Lincoln identify with his audiences."1

1. Lois J. Einhorn, Abraham Lincoln, the Orator: Penetrating the Lincoln Legend (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1992), 25, http://www.questia.com/read/27419298.

Cited passage

Welcome to the new Questia Reader

The Questia Reader has been updated to provide you with an even better online reading experience.  It is now 100% Responsive, which means you can read our books and articles on any sized device you wish.  All of your favorite tools like notes, highlights, and citations are still here, but the way you select text has been updated to be easier to use, especially on touchscreen devices.  Here's how:

1. Click or tap the first word you want to select.
2. Click or tap the last word you want to select.

OK, got it!

Thanks for trying Questia!

Please continue trying out our research tools, but please note, full functionality is available only to our active members.

Your work will be lost once you leave this Web page.

For full access in an ad-free environment, sign up now for a FREE, 1-day trial.

Already a member? Log in now.