The End of the World: The Science and Ethics of Human Extinction

By John Leslie | Go to book overview

NOTES

INTRODUCTION
1
The Introduction’s treatment of the doomsday argument is based largely on Leslie 1989e, 1990b and 1992a and e. For much more about the argument, see Chapters 5 and 6.
2
As J.J.C. Smart writes, even a very low probability, when ‘multiplied by a macro disaster’, would be something having ‘macro disvalue’, a point immensely important when we consider ‘the millions of years of possible evolution of the human race that lie ahead if we do not destroy ourselves’ (Smart 1984, p. 140).
3
McCrea 1975; Begelman and Rees 1976.
4
Peterson 1993.
5
Leslie 1993c and d, for instance.
6
Heilbroner 1975.
7
See Tipler 1982, Tipler 1994, chapter 2, and Wesson 1990.
8
Gott 1993, p. 16.
9
See also Gott 1994 for replies to other critics.
10
I believe it needs a firm fact of this type, a fact theoretically predictable, even if—as on some views about the nature of time—all things which will ever be true about the future must be true already, regardless of whether the world is indeterministic. The point is controversial, and Chapter 6 will return to it.

1 WAR, POLLUTION, DISEASE
1
Putnam 1979, p. 114.
2
C. Sagan, 1980, p. 266.
3
Kiernan 1994a, p. 15.
4
Adamson 1990, pp. 171-3.
5
C. Sagan 1980, p. 267.

-276-

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The End of the World: The Science and Ethics of Human Extinction
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Title Page v
  • Contents vii
  • Acknowledgments viii
  • Preface to the Paperback Edition x
  • Introduction 1
  • 1 - War, Pollution, Disease 25
  • 2 - Other Dangers 81
  • 3 - Judging the Risks 133
  • 4 - Why Prolong Human History? 155
  • 5 - The Doomsday Argument 187
  • 6 - Testing the Argument 237
  • 7 - Prisoner’s Dilemma and Nuclear Revenge 267
  • Notes 276
  • Bibliography 289
  • Index 306
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