Housing the Poor in the Developing World: Methods of Analysis, Case Studies, and Policy

By A. Graham Tipple; Kenneth G. Willis | Go to book overview

10

Econometric analysis

Measuring the impact of rent controls in urban housing markets

Raymond Struyk and Margery A. Turner


INTRODUCTION

Controls on the rents that landlords may charge their tenants are quite common in developing countries, as well as in the United States and the industrialised nations of western Europe. Indeed, it is much easier to think of countries that have some form of rent controls than of those that do not. In many instances, controls are accompanied by regulations protecting tenants from eviction. There is, however, little uniformity across countries in rent controls and accompanying protective legislation or in the administration of these regulations. Thus, it is difficult to generalise from one country to another about the likely effects of rent control on housing market outcomes. 1

While the primary effect of rent controls is to reduce the cost of rental housing for its occupants, reduced rents may produce a number of important indirect impacts.


1. On housing supply

By reducing rent levels, and possibly appreciation rates as well, rent controls may reduce the profitability of rental housing and cause a reduction in the production of rental housing or a withdrawal of units from the rental market.

Profitability is also the primary determinant of investment in unit maintenance. Lower profits after some point may result in lower maintenance, lower unit quality, and shorter unit lives.


2. On housing demand

Changes in the relative price of owner and renter occupied housing may change the tenure choice of some households.

-169-

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Housing the Poor in the Developing World: Methods of Analysis, Case Studies, and Policy
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Title Page iii
  • Contents v
  • Figures vii
  • Tables ix
  • Preface xv
  • 1 - Introduction to Housing Analysis and an Overview 1
  • 2 - Participant Observation 16
  • 3 - Cultural Change Analysis 35
  • 4 - Time Series Analysis 62
  • Notes 80
  • 5 - Comparative Analysis 81
  • 6 - Analysis of Government Mortgage Records 96
  • 7 - Ratio Analysis 113
  • 8 - Discriminant Analysis 126
  • 9 - Regression Analysis 143
  • 10 - Econometric Analysis 169
  • Notes 188
  • 11 - Contingent Valuation 189
  • 12 - Discounted Cash Flow Analysis 208
  • 13 - Cost-Benefit Analysis 234
  • 14 - Methods of Analysis and Policy 258
  • Bibliography 262
  • Index 279
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