How Terrorism Ends: Understanding the Decline and Demise of Terrorist Campaigns

By Audrey Kurth Cronin | Go to book overview
Contents
Acknowledgmentsxi
Abbreviationsxv
Introduction1
THE EVOLUTION OF TERRORISM AS A STRATEGIC THREAT3
A WORD ABOUT SCOPE AND TERMS6
THE CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK7
CASE SELECTION8
OVERVIEW OF CHAPTERS9
CHAPTER ONE
Decapitation: Catching or Killing the Leader14
WHAT DECAPITATION MEANS16
THE ARREST OF TOP LEADERS17
Abimael Guzmán and Sendero Luminoso (Shining Path)18
Abdullah Öcalan and the Kurdistan Workers' Party20
Mickey McKevitt and the Real Irish Republican Army22
Shoko Asahara and Aum Shinrikyo23
ASSASSINATION OR “TARGETED KILLING”24
The Philippines' Abu Sayyaf27
Russia and Chechen Leaders28
Israel's “Targeted Killings”29
HOW DECAPITATION ENDS TERRORISM31
CHAPTER TWO
Negotiations: Transition toward a Legitimate Political Process35
WHY GOVERNMENTS NEGOTIATE36
WHY GROUPS NEGOTIATE39
CASE STUDIES OF NEGOTIATIONS42
The Northern Ireland Peace Process42
ANALYSIS OF THE AGREEMENT47
The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Process48
TERRORISM AND THE TALKS55
The LTTE (Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam, or Tamil Tigers)57
ANALYSIS OF THE FAILURE61
PROMISING AND UNPROMISING CIRCUMSTANCES FOR NEGOTIATIONS62
Stalemate63
Strong Leadership64

-vii-

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