Business Forecasting: The Principles and Practice of Forecasting Business and Stock-Market Trends with Especial Reference to Business Cycles

By Lewis H. Haney | Go to book overview

INDEX
Absolutes, advantages of, 18 f.; disadvantages of, 23 f.
Action and reaction, 199
Adams, A. B., 135
Adjustment, for differences in working time, 35 f.; for long-time trend, 37 f.; for seasonal variation, 43 ff.
Agriculture, 44, 81, 137, 138, 150, 159, 197, 250, 280
American Bureau of Metal Statistics, 28, 250
American Railway Association, 85
American Telephone and Telegraph Co., business index of, 60, 205
Analogy. See Forecasting methods, empirical
Annalist, The, 366; business-activity index, 205 f., 315; car-loading index, 88; price index, 31, 108, 269
Automobile production, 58, 82, 147, 235, 276; seasonal variation of, 368
Automobiles, forecasting production of, 96, 276 f.; prices of, 109; sales of, 97, 202, 207
Axe, Emerson W., 315
Axe-Houghton index, 62, 315
Babbitt metal, 95, 96
Badger, R. E., 288
Balance of trade, 104
Bank clearings, 89, 315
Bank credit, 114 ff., 142, 150, 158, 170, 267, 297, 320
Bank debits, 64, 65, 89 f., 128
Bank deposits, 90, 151, 168 ff., 267; turnover of, 128 ff.
Bank investments, 115, 324
Bank loans, 114, 117, 321, 328
Bank policies, 116, 121, 134, 324, 330
Barometers, 63, 66, 82, 94, 96, 99, 104, 202, 212, 215, 219, 224, 313
Barron's index, 132, 372
Bear markets, 218, 300, 302, 303, 306, 327 ff., 332
Bills, bought, 115; discounted, 115 ff., 270, 271, 273
Blast-furnace activity, 76 f., 196
Bliss, J. G., 288
Bond, F. D., 294
Bond market, 80, 127, 304, 329; as a stock forecaster, 127, 219, 303 ff., 321, 329
Bond market cycles, 305, 331
Bond yields, 127, 129, 301 f., 330
Booms, 89, 145 ff., 150, 160, 164, 206
Bradstreet's, 366; bank clearings in, 89; building permits in, 77, 79; price index in, 17, 91, 106, 108, 109, 157, 191, 209, 210, 212, 234, 269
Brokers' loans, 118 ff., 297, 306 f., 321, 323 f., 326, 330, 345, 346
Brookmire Business Index, 63
Building activity, 77, 159, 225; contemplated construction, 81, 225; contracts awarded, 46, 77 f., 80, 81, 313; forecasting, 220, 274; permits, 77, 79, 81, 281; seasonal variation, 368. See also Real estate
Building materials, prices of, 109
Bull markets, 134, 285, 302, 303, 305, 308, 317, 334, 339 f.
Bureau of Labor Statistics, employment index of, 66, 68, 69; payroll index of, 201; price index of, 17, 65, 106, 108, 109, 210, 269
Bureau of Mines, 98
Bureau of Railway Economics, 88
Business, 2 f., 5, 193 ff.
Business activity, 131, 135, 310 ff., 317, 319, 327; indexes of, Chap. III; and the stock market, 133 f., 298. 310 f., 335
Business cycles. See Cycles
Business measurements, Chaps. III, IV, V. See also Business activity, indexes of
Business methods, 15, 100
Business recovery, 158 f., 166 f.
Call-loan rates, 124, 126, 308 f., 321, 330
Car-loadings, 56, 85 ff.
Carrying charges, 295, 298, 299, 301, 330
Chain-store sales, 93
Chicago Reserve Bank, 97, 207
Clearings. See Bank clearings
Cleveland Trust Co. Bulletin, 131
Coal, 85
Coal Age, coal price index in, 108

-375-

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