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Budget 2002: Economic Analysis: ECONOMIC FORECASTS: Growth Forecasts Are Raised Although Economists Doubt Long-Term Claims

By: Thornton, Philip | The Independent (London, England), April 18, 2002 | Article details

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Budget 2002: Economic Analysis: ECONOMIC FORECASTS: Growth Forecasts Are Raised Although Economists Doubt Long-Term Claims


Thornton, Philip, The Independent (London, England)


THE BRITISH economy has weathered the worst shock in a decade and is now estimated to be growing even faster than previously thought.

Gordon Brown upped his forecasts for the next couple of years and - in a highly significant move - the estimates of the long-term growth rate.

The Treasury now believes that the trend rate of growth is 2.75 per cent, rather than 2.5 per cent. As a result, the Government will now use growth of 2.5 per cent, rather than 2.25 per cent, when putting together the public finances.

In a crucial move, the Chancellor has decided to stick with his confident forecast for growth this year of 2 to 2.5 per cent that he gave in …

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