Conventional Arms Treaty Dispute Persists
Boese, Wade, Arms Control Today
Russia and NATO are still at odds over a European conventional arms pact despite an emergency meeting June 11-15 to discuss their differences. Russia is complaining that its long-standing concerns are still being ignored but has not suspended implementation of the treaty as it previously warned it might.
Anatoly Antonov, who heads the Russian Foreign Ministry's Department of International Security and Disarmament, asserted that other states paid only "lip service" to Russia's positions at the Vienna gathering. The 26-member NATO alliance issued a statement expressing "regret" that no agreement could be reached.
Russian President Vladimir Putin had said in April that Russia might halt implementation of the 1990 Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty, which caps the number of battle tanks, armored combat vehicles, heavy artillery, attack helicopters, and combat aircraft that 30 countries can station between the Atlantic Ocean and the Ural Mountains. Antonov said June 15, however, that a possible suspension was now "closer."
Under a suspension or moratorium, Antonov explained, Russia would stop treaty inspections, notifications, and data exchanges. It would also consider moot weapons limits on Russian arms deployments in its northern and southern regions, or so-called flanks. But he said Moscow did not intend to increase its weapons deployments or withdraw from the treaty, which requires at least a 150-day advance notice.
Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Daniel Fried, who led the U.S. delegation to the conference, told reporters June 12 that Russia had not indicated that a possible suspension was "imminent" but acknowledged that "it is certainly on the table." A U.S. government official told Arms Control Today June 20 that "everybody is waiting for the other shoe to drop."
Citing "serious problems" with NATO behavior under the CFE Treaty, Moscow called May 28 for the "extraordinary conference" on the accord. Russian negotiators arrived at the Vienna gathering with a half-dozen "problems" to discuss.
Russia's main complaint is that NATO countries are refusing to ratify a November 1999 revision of the agreement, known as the Adapted CFE Treaty. Entry into force of that updated accord requires ratification by all the original treaty states-parties. Thus far, however, only Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine have done so.
NATO members are postponing ratification of the adapted treaty, which replaces bloc and geographic arms limits with national weapon ceilings, until Russia withdraws its military forces from the former Soviet republics of Georgia and Moldova. Moscow pledged to do so in documents concluded in parallel with the revised accord at a summit in Istanbul. …