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The Impact of Presidential Elections on Currency Values in Latin America

By: Sibley, Mike | Multinational Business Review, Fall 2001 | Article details

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The Impact of Presidential Elections on Currency Values in Latin America


Sibley, Mike, Multinational Business Review


This paper employs event study methodology to investigate the impact of presidential elections on nominal currency values for a group of Latin American countries between 1980 and 1996. The results indicate that presidential elections are associated with a statistically significant decline in nominal currency values, which appears strongest around the time of inauguration. The results suggest that the stage of the political cycle in a country is an important factor influencing exchange rates and should be recognized when making trade and investment decisions.

INTRODUCTION

This paper examines the impact of presidential elections on nominal currency values for a group of …

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