International Trade and Finance: A North American Perspective

By Khosrow Fatemi | Go to book overview

the probability of current rescheduling both for all debtor nations and Latin American debtors. These results lend some empirical credence to the critics of current rescheduling policy. Clearly, more research needs to be done in this area. It remains to be seen whether the results we have found are robust for other model specifications or whether other information about particular reschedulings can be found that determines whether they will be successful or unsuccessful.


NOTES
1.
See among others, D. Avramovic, Economic Growth and External Debt ( Baltimore; MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1987); A. Barrett, "Regional Variations in the Determinants of Debt Repayment Problems," paper presented at the December 1985 meeting of the American Economics Association, New York; W. R. Cline , International Debt: Systemic Risk and Policy Response ( Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics, 1984); D. J. Donovan, "Nature and Origins of Debt-Servicing Difficulties," Finance and Development ( December 1984): 22-25; S. Edwards, "LDC Foreign Borrowing and Default Risk: An Empirical Investigation, " American Economic Review ( September 1984): 726-34; G. Feder and R. Just, "A Study of Debt Servicing Capacity Applying Logit Analysis," Journal of Development Economics, no. 4 ( 1977): 25-39; G. Feder, R. Just, and K. Ross, "Projecting Debt Service Capacity of Developing Countries," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, no. 5 ( 1981): 651-59; C. Frank and W. Cline, "Measurement of Debt Servicing Capacity," Journal of International Economics, no. 1 ( 1971): 327-44; D. Glassman, "Determinants of Debt Rescheduling of Less-Developed Countries: An Exploratory Analysis," paper presented at the December 1985 meeting of the American Economics Association, New York; D. MacFadden et al., "Is There Life After Debt? An Econometric Analysis of the Creditworthiness of Developing Countries," in International Debt and the Developing Countries, edited by G. Smith and Cuddington ( Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1985), pp. 179-209; A. Mayo and A. Barrett, "An Early-Warning Model for Assessing Developing Country Risk," in Financing and Risk in Developing Countries, edited by S. Goodman ( New York: Praeger, 1980), pp. 91-107; N. Sargen, "Economic Indicators and Country Risk Analysis," Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Review (Fall 1977).
2.
See R. Dornbusch, "International Debt and Economic Instability," in Debt, Financial Stability, and Public Policy ( Kansas City: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 1986), pp. 63-86; R. E. Feinberg and V. Kallab (eds.), Adjustment Crisis in the Third World ( Washington, D.C.: Overseas Development Council, 1984); C. S. Hardy , Rescheduling Developing Country Debts, 1956-1981: Lessons and Recommendations ( Washington, D.C.: Overseas Development Council, 1982); T. Killick, The Quest for Economic Stabilization ( New York: St. Martin's Press, 1984); C. Payer , The Debt Trap ( New York: Monthly Review Press, 1975); A. Rieffel, "The Role of the Paris Club in Managing Debt Problems," Essays in International Finance, no. 161 ( Princeton, NJ: Princeton University, 1985).
3.
Feder, Just, and Ross, "Projecting Debt Service Capacity."
4.
Rieffel, "Managing Debt Problems."
5.
Ibid.

-84-

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