publicans, in contrast, especially those in the House, have shown the promise that derives from clarity of conviction. It may help them, at least initially, that they have a game plan--their "Contract with America." Sooner or later, however, the system is likely to slow the progress of their bold initiatives. If so, that is American politics as it normally is--Newt Gingrich and his hordes will be subject to the conditions that have influenced the prospects of Bill Clinton's presidency. If not, and we may know in 1996, this could prove to be a rare moment of unambiguous political signals and thus a rare moment of distinctive partisan victory on behalf of an equally clear policy agenda. We recommend watching but not betting.