15 Russia and the West: From Cold War to Cold Peace Robert C. Tucker When the Transition Began We will all agree that Russia and the other Soviet successor states and also Eastern Europe are in a time of transition. When did this period begin for Russia? It may seem that it began in 1991 with two historic events: First, the August Revolution, when a group of top Soviet leaders, acting without Mikhail Gorbachev, sought and failed to keep the then weakening Soviet regime in existence by declaring a state of emergency, after which an apparatchik turned anti-Communist, Boris Yeltsin, took over predomi- nant power in Moscow in his capacity as recently elected president of the Russian Republic; and second, the quiet coup that Yeltsin engineered in December by meeting with his Ukrainian and Belorussian fellow lead- ers, Leonid Kravchuk and Stanislav Shushkevich, at a hunting lodge near Minsk, where they liquidated the USSR by founding in its stead a "Commonwealth of Independent States" (CIS), which did not then and has not even now become a state formation in its own right. At the end of December 1991, Soviet President Gorbachev was forced to relinquish the seat of authority in the Kremlin. His abdication meant the end of the Lenin political dynasty and of Soviet power. That is one view of the beginning. Another sees the transition period as having begun in 1985, when Gorbachev took over as CPSU general secretary with an inner commitment to systemic reform, to a reformation of the Soviet order more fundamental than the reforms of the Khrushchev years. If General Secretary Konstantin Chernenko had been succeeded in 1985 by some other more conservative member of the Polit- -283- |