Dangerous Peace: New Rivalry in World Politics

By Alpo M. Rusi | Go to book overview

ity, may not ultimately survive the transition from bipolarity to new rivalry intact, a new transatlantic partnership will take shape. Europe and America will still share a common strategic commitment, but the responsibilities and fights in the grouping will be divided in a novel way.

Russia will most probably find a new cooperative relationship with Western Europe, combining its own resources and European knowhow on a new scale. Western Europe will no longer be a threat but a partner to Russia, provided that sensible leadership remains in power in the latter.

If transatlantic partnership remains central to the Western order and Russia develops a cooperative relationship with the West, then the world system of the 21st century will develop some aspects of a new bipolar balance of power with a Western sphere opposed to a Chinese sphere. Japan's place in such a system remains open, but only to a degree. In a multipolar setting it would be free to choose between several masters, but in a bipolar one it is too near to China to be able to resist its strong gravitational pull.


Notes
1.
Kegley and Raymond, A Multipolar Peace, p. 150.
2.
Charles W. Kegley, "Explaining Great-Power Peace: The Sources of Prolonged Postwar Stability", in Kegley, (ed.), The Long Postwar Peace ( New York: HarperCollins), 1991, pp.3-22.
3.
Kenneth N. Waltz, Theory of International Politics ( Wesley, MA: Addison Publishers), 1979.
4.
John Mueller, "Dropping Out of the War Systems", The Los Angeles Times, September 12, 1988.
5.
This book does not deal in detail with the sources of "long peace" but wants to stress the historic logic of the theses of Immanuel Kant concerning the conditions of lasting peace. Kant believed that the combination of representative government and the painful lessons of recurrent warfare would eventually lead to perpetual peace. On the foundations of international security in the post-Cold War international environment in "Kantian" terms, see Michael Mandelbaum, The Dawn of Peace in Europe ( New York: Twentieth Century Fund), 1996, pp. 77, 125 - 126.

-131-

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Dangerous Peace: New Rivalry in World Politics
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Title Page iii
  • Contents vii
  • Preface ix
  • 1 - Introduction 1
  • Notes 7
  • 2 - Collapsing Bipolarity 11
  • Notes 33
  • 3 - Emergence of the New Economic System 35
  • Notes 54
  • 4 - New Geopolitical Actors on the Rise 59
  • Notes 90
  • 5 - Toward a New Global Rivalry 97
  • Notes 109
  • 6 - The Global Order for the 21st Century: Positive Interrelationship or Conflictual Rivalry? 113
  • Notes 131
  • 7 - Constructing the Real Future 135
  • Notes 145
  • Appendix 149
  • Bibliography 171
  • About the Book and Author 183
  • Index 185
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