To Choose a Future: Resource and Environmental Consequences of Alternative Growth Paths

By Ronald G. Ridker; William D. Watson | Go to book overview

Appendix

The SEAS/RFF Model

The principal computerized model used in this project (the SEAS/ RFF system) is a series of interdependent models developed for assessing future economic, resource, and environmental consequences for the United States of alternate assumptions about population growth, economic growth, technology change, environmental policy, energy prices, energy supply, and minerals policy. Structurally, the system consists of a number of special-purpose models linked to INFORUM, the University of Maryland's 185-sector, dynamic, macroeconomic-cum-input-output model of the U.S. economy.

The SEAS/RFF system develops national U.S. economic forecasts through 2025 based on an exogenously specified set of demographic, macroeconomic, energy price, environmental policy, and resource policy assumptions. In turn, these forecasts form the basic economic inputs used by other models in the system to develop their more specialized forecasts. Forecasts are made at both national and regional levels.


The National System

A generalized overview of the SEAS/RFF national system is presented in figure A-1. The dashed-lined box encompasses the six special- purpose models that have been integrated with INFORUM into a common model: PRICE, which uses relative energy prices and price elasticities to alter energy demands, capital requirements, and Gross National Product (GNP) growth; TECHNOLOGY, which uses technology change assumptions to alter current and capital account flows; INSIDE, which provides greater detail on industrial output; ABATE, which calculates costs for abating pollution and sector purchases for abatement; ENSUP

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To Choose a Future: Resource and Environmental Consequences of Alternative Growth Paths
Table of contents

Table of contents

  • Title Page iii
  • Contents vii
  • Foreword xi
  • Acknowledgments xiii
  • Explanatory Noted and Units of Measure xv
  • I - Approaching the Task 1
  • References 13
  • 2 - Assumptions and Scenarios 15
  • References 56
  • 3 - The National Economy 58
  • References 94
  • 4 - Nonfuel Minerals 96
  • Conclusions 148
  • References 154
  • 5 - Energy 157
  • References 216
  • 6 - Agriculture 221
  • References 248
  • 7 - Pollution Costs and Control Benefits 250
  • Conclusions 296
  • 8 - Other Environmental Concerns 325
  • References 368
  • 9 - Summary and Prospects 372
  • References 410
  • Appendix 411
  • References 452
  • Epilogue 456
  • References 459
  • Index 460
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