Appendix 5
Manipulating Predicted Loyalty: Perceived Distance as Measure of Issues
| All Democrats and Republicans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Values/ | Republican Values/ | Democratic Values/ | Republican Values/ | |
| Democratic | Democratic | Republican | Republican | |
| Year | Coefficientsa | Coefficientsb | Coefficientsc | Coefficientsa |
| 1968 | 46.4 | 57.9 | 77.3 | 82.4 |
| 1972 | 50.8 | 88.9 | 85.8 | 94.3 |
| 1976 | 58.3 | 64.1 | 67.4 | 87.6 |
| 1980 | 57.1 | 61.6 | 70.2 | 76.1 |
| 1984 | 71.9 | 76.7 | 91.0 | 90.5 |
| 1988 | 84.1 | 82.6 | 88.7 | 87.3 |
Core Constituencies: Liberal Democrats and Conservative Republicansd
| Conservative | Conservative | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democratic | Republican Values/ | Liberal Democratic | Republican Values/ | |
| Values/Democratic | Democratic | Values/Republican | Republican | |
| Year | Coefficientsa | Coefficientsb | Coefficientsc | Coefficientsa |
| 1968 | 57.1 | 62.9 | 82.6 | 84.1 |
| 1972 | 74.2 | 96.0 | 90.5 | 96.2 |
| 1976 | 59.5 | 66.3 | 74.9 | 81.6 |
| 1980 | 57.9 | 59.9 | 77.9 | 86.4 |
| 1984 | 87.2 | 88.3 | 96.4 | 95.5 |
| 1988 | 92.7 | 92.9 | 93.2 | 93.9 |
| Notes: a. Entries are predicted loyalty for mean Democratic and Republican identifiers derived from probit analyses of each partisan group separately. | ||||
| b. Column two uses coefficients for Democrats but substitutes values on independent variables of the mean Republican. | ||||
| c. Column three uses values on independent variables of Democrats but coefficients for Republicans. | ||||
| d. Mean scores are for liberal Democrats and conservative Republicans. |
-193-
Questia, a part of Gale, Cengage Learning. www.questia.com
Publication information:
Book title: The Collapse of the Democratic Presidential Majority:Realignment, Dealignment, and Electoral Change from Franklin Roosevelt to Bill Clinton.
Contributors: David G. Lawrence - Author.
Publisher: Westview Press.
Place of publication: Boulder, CO.
Publication year: 1996.
Page number: 193.
This material is protected by copyright and, with the exception of fair use, may not be further copied, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means.
One moment ...
- Georgia
- Arial
- Times New Roman
- Verdana
- Courier/monospaced
Reset