3 Exchange Policies and Capital Flight Six Countries Compared Why is it so hard to make exchange controls work in Argentina? . . . the answer seems to be that they are not here felt to be morally justified. Review of the River Plate, April 1964 The President who devalues is devalued. José López Portillo, 1982
While the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s originated in large, systemic problems, it did not break out in the same way in each country. In particular, three of the largest debtors ( Argentina, Mexico, and Venezuela) had a lot of capital flight in the critical 1980-82 period, while three others ( Brazil, Chile, and Colombia) had much less. In this chapter I try to explain the difference. Although in most countries capital flight worsened after 1980-82, the episode deserves study for two reasons: first, because by rapidly draining central bank reserves, especially in Mexico in 1982, capital outflows served as midwife to the regional debt crisis; and second, because the flight took place as foreigners were still sending funds to Latin America rather freely, as they have done in the 1990s and will surely do in the future. In turn, because many economic analyses have linked the capital flight of this period to exchange policies, as I noted -59- |