BELIEF VERSUS EVIDENCE Early in the 20th century, Robert H. Goddard patented the basic rocket design that remains in use to this day. In a 1919 report, Goddard described the principles of rocket travel in outer space, and in 1920 the Smithsonian Institution, which had financed some of Goddard's work, summarized the gist of this article in a press release. Journalists were skeptical. An editorial in The New York Times reminded the public that it would be impossible for a rocket to function in a vacuum, and dismissed Goddard with, "Of course, he only seems to lack the knowl- edge ladled out daily in high schools." To its credit the Times eventually printed a retraction, but not until 1969 as U.S. astronauts prepared for the first moon landing ( Wohleber, 1996). Before he wrote this article, Goddard first proved that rocket engines could operate in a vacuum by testing an actual engine in a vacuum chamber. This early model not only worked in a vacuum, but it worked 20% better in the vacuum than in air. Goddard was well aware of the traditional belief that engines cannot work in a vacuum, but he settled the question with experimental evidence rather than plausible arguments. The chief objective of this book is to offer tools for distinguishing between belief and evidence. OPERATIONAL DEFINITION Goddard did much more than assert that his rocket engine could work in a vacuum. He described his experiments in detail: how he created a vacuum in his experimental chamber, how he measured the vacuum, how he measured the output of his engine, and so on. He described his experimental operations in such detail that other scien- tists could evaluate his evidence and repeat his experiments. They could reach their own conclusions. Operational definitions tie theories and explanations to observation and experiment. Facial Vision Can blind human beings locate objects at a distance? For hundreds, perhaps thousands, of years natural philosophers debated this ques- tion. Many cultures believe that losses such as blindness stimuluate compensation. To skeptics, compensation seems like a sentimental denial of the harshness of nature and the principle of survival through fitness. Believers retold dramatic stories about the remarkable abilities of blind people. Skeptics found it easy to discount such informal, -2- |