5 Market Responses to Anti-hunger Policies: Effects on Wages, Prices and Employment Martin Ravallion 5.1. Introduction The economy is rarely a passive vehicle for transmitting a policy initiative to its target. People react to policy changes. A policy aimed at one class of people can easily bring with it unexpected gains and losses to others. Nor is it always clear how the target group will be affected, once the economy as a whole has reacted. In targeting policies towards the needs of the poor in a market economy there will generally be some prices and quantities which appear in their budget constraints but are not controllable by the policy maker. An assessment is called for of how those prices and quantities will respond to the policy intervention before one can determine how welfare of the target group will be affected. Policy design may also be constrained by effects on the welfare of non-target groups. Only policies which keep these effects within certain bounds may be politically feasible in specific settings. For example, in designing policies aimed at raising the welfare of the rural poor one may be constrained to leave the post-tax wage of urban workers unaffected. This chapter surveys and analyses a broad range of anti-hunger policies in market economies, looking particularly at the way market responses can influence policy design. The method of analysis draws on both theoretical and empirical arguments with the latter applying almost exclusively to South Asia, particularly Bangladesh. The policies examined include direct transfer pay- ments, public employment ('relief work' hereafter), food pricing policies, public buffer stocks, external trade policies, and public information policies. The survey is far from even handed. One policy is given more emphasis than the others, namely relief work, while another potentially important one is not discussed at all, namely land reform. This bias seems in keeping with current emphasis amongst policy makers and this is understandable; in the main, the political pre-conditions for successful land and tenancy reforms have not been present, while there seems more immediate hope for relief work and similar income transfer policies. A theme of this study is that anti-hunger policies should be concerned with two conceptually distinct aspects of individual consumption: its level over a ____________________ | | I have had useful discussions on some of these issues with Jun Boyce, S. Brahme, V. M. Dandekar, Gaurav Datt, N. S. Jodha, Kiran Moghe, Amartya Sen, R. M. Sundrum, Dominique van de Walle, and Tom Walker. I am particularly grateful to Jean Drèze for his detailed comments on the paper. Views expressed here should not be attributed to the World Bank. | -241- |