CHAPTER 16 THE NET-CONSUMPTION/NET-INVESTMENT THEORY OF PROFIT AND INTEREST PART A THE POSITIVE THEORY 1. The Nature and Problem of Aggregate Profit In Chapter 13, I showed how production and supply are the source of demand in the sense of purchasing power--that is, real demand. In Chapter 15, I showed how saving and productive expenditure are the source of the great bulk of spending in the economic system. This conclusion followed from the fact that they not only make possible the demand for capital goods, which in a modern economic system almost certainly surpasses the demand for consumers' goods, but also the payment of wages by business, out of which comes the great bulk of consumer spending. 1 In this chapter, I will make good on the promise I made in Chapter 15 to show how busi- ness--taken in the aggregate--is the source not only of the monetary demand for its own products, but of a profitable monetary demand for its products. As I prom- ised, I will show how business "itself generates a mone- tary demand that is fully sufficient for the profitable sale of its products . . . in the mere fact of purchasing capital goods and paying wages and in declaring dividends and paying interest" and how "in addition, the very increase in production itself operates to add further to both the real and the nominal rate of profit." I will show, indeed, how there are "virtual springs to the restoration of profitabil- ity" waiting to be unleashed whenever inflation and credit expansion bring on a financial contraction and deflation and thereby temporarily impair business prof- itability or wipe it out altogether. 2 In this chapter, I will explain the determinants both of the aggregate amount of profit in the economic system and of the average rate of profit in the economic system. I will present a theory of profit which will show that in a society characterized by consistent laissez-faire capi- talism, and thus free of financial contraction brought on by a preceding inflation or credit expansion, the average rate of profit is always determined at a point that is both high enough to make investment worthwhile and, at the same time, as low as the security of property and all rational provision for the future make possible. Thus, I will show--in contrast to the claims of the Keynesians and the Marxists--that the rate of profit is neither "too low" nor "too high" and that neither pretext constitutes grounds for a policy of government intervention or so- cialism. 3 The theory of profit I will present in this chapter is the basis on which I was led to the development both of much of the material that I have already presented, in previous chapters, and of much of the material that is yet to come, in subsequent chapters. It is the basis of my having arrived at virtually the whole of the analysis I presented in Chapter 11 and in Chapters 13-15, from the definition of productive expenditure and consumption expenditure through the critique of the conceptual framework of the exploitation theory, the exposition of the philosophy of -719- |