To suggest the outcome as a failure is not to suggest what form interven- tion should have taken, and is certainly bounded by the aura of the time. Would the American public have accepted the use of U.S. forces for the very limited (non-Clausewitzian) purpose of saving some civilian lives in the wake of the highly Clausewitzian experience in Desert Storm, where the military power of the state was harnessed to large and apparently lofty purposes? Were we willing to contemplate the limited use of small amounts of force for limited outcomes at that point in time--or today? Do we, in fact, have a viable strategy today that would tell us the process and pros- pects of engaging in state-building in a failed state? Are we destined to continue to muddle through these situations? All these are questions raised but not clearly answered by Operation Restore Hope. Conclusion The situations in Peru and Somalia are mirrors of the pattern of violence in the post-Cold War world, which is why they were selected for treatment as case studies. The narcoinsurgency being conducted by Sendero Luminoso spans the Cold War and the post-Cold War period, but also demonstrates the difference between the two periods. The SL insurgency was born in the ideological cauldron of conununism and anticommunism and was sustained in those terms for some time. The narcotics connection gradually intruded into the purity of SL's activities and, especially after the capture of Guzmin, came to dominate its raison d'ĂȘtre. Whether it can return to its ideological roots and whether those ideas have appeal in a post-Cold War Peru whose leadership is dedicated to drawing the country into the greater economic prosperity of the global economy remains to be seen. The situation in Somalia is more symptomatic of the new internal wars of the post-Cold War world. Somalia's tragedy is that of the extremely destitute state with few economic prospects and a history of inability to govern itself in a stable manner--the profile of the failed state. Its failure in 1991 and 1992 was certainly not the first time the Somali people have faced tragedy; the inability to remedy the political situation as late as 1997 sug- gests that the problems could recur. It is extremely easy to become disillusioned, even cynical, about the kinds of problems encountered in these two cases, and more broadly in the general discussion of internal war in the international environment. To sug- gest that there is any widespread consensus on the problem or how it should be handled would go beyond current reality. In the final chapter, however, we will look at some ways in which to organize and decide what may be the appropriate responses to those challenges. -197- |