Conclusion: The Soviet Threat in Retrospect The Soviet sense of insecurity that bred the Cold War also provided the constraints that kept it within bounds. The inside evidence of Moscow's capabilities and intentions no longer leaves a doubt that its leaders never wanted to overstep the limits. This is not to say that the threat the West perceived was an empty one. In their quest for security, Stalin and his successors were inclined to take greater risks whenever they saw the correlation of forces turning in their favor. In estimating their own strengths and the weaknesses of their adversaries, they were prone to miscalculations. These were enhanced by their ideological preconceptions, which postulated the ultimate victory of their system despite temporary setbacks. In the course of the forty-year contest, domestic considerations de- termined Soviet international behavior far more than most contempo- raries, misled by the Kremlin's not having to account for its action to anyone, were prepared to believe. As long as Stalin was in charge, those considerations were more general than specific—his need to maintain his autocratic power and an economy that would sustain it. Only later did they entail a clash of specific interests resulting in alternative poli- cies articulated by different individuals or groups. During Stalin's life- time, Soviet policy was for all intents and purposes his policy, on the whole conforming to Khrushchev's description of the despot as some- one behaving "like Almighty God with a host of angels and archangels. He might listen to us, but the main thing was that he spoke and we listened. He did not explain his reasoning, but passed down the word to lesser mortals. They did what they were told when he wanted it done." 1 This was the time when the Soviet system came the closest to the ideal model of totalitarian autocracy; in the real world, however, the autocrat's control was less than total, his policy often inconsistent, and its results not always commensurate with expectations. -191- |