Desert Knowledge Key to Surviving the 21st Century: Knowledge about the Way Life Operates in the Extreme Conditions of Australia's Vast Deserts Can Be Applied to a Future of New Unprecedented Constraints. Julian Cribb and Mark Stafford Smith Explore How Research Has Been Looking to That Horizon

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Everything that lives in the Australian desert is expert at survival: from the paper daisies that blossom only when sparse rains come, to the coolabah that digs deep to find reliable water, the water birds that migrate between evanescent lakes, the antechinus that stores up fat in its tail, the Aboriginal people who store knowledge of landscape for hundreds of generations in their songs and networks, and the remote outback business that thrives on the internet.

At the heart of this conundrum is the fact that all life in deserts is adapted to cope with--indeed thrive on--uncertainty and scarcity, to depend on resources that vary extremely in both space and time, such as a rare flood followed by prolonged drought, a sudden blaze of life that dies to a low smoulder, or a patch of startling richness in an otherwise barren landscape.

The Australian deserts are reliable only in their unpredictability. Often they are lean in resources, but in some places and at certain times astonishingly bountifuL They teach all their inhabitants ways to survive when the future is bleak and uncertain. They teach about the use of special knowledge, relationships, networks and mobility for survival. They foster new ideas and the evolution of new strategies and skills. They teach us how to live in Australia.

Since European settlement and nationhood, however, Australians have mostly treated the deserts with disdain, protected more by benign neglect and ignorance of their true qualities than by care, as the forces of development have blown across the land. In the world that lies ahead, we will need our deserts and the knowledge that flows from them more, perhaps, than ever in our history.

Our whole world is changing. Vast expanses of our former grain belts and savannahs are actually becoming drier, hotter and more uncertain deserts under human mismanagement and climate change. Water supplies globally are strained or drying up. Forests continue to dwindle. Traditional energy sources are running low or proving hazardous to our future. Vital resources such as fish, phosphorus and certain minerals show signs of exhaustion under the relentless pressures of human demand and population growth. Vast population flows are emerging in the face of mounting pressures.

For more than five millennia humans have attempted to bring certainty to their world, through agriculture, through urbanisation and all the comforts and conveniences of technology. But as we press against the finite bounds of our planet, the signs are that this is changing, that future societies will have to cope--once again--with increased uncertainty, with extremes of climate and with scarcity of vital resources.

The world of the future, in other words, will be more like the world of the deserts--variable, unpredictable, with resources scarce, widely scattered and hard to find. And the rules for human survival will converge on those of the deserts: find ways to cope with uncertainty, or perish.

In recent years, through the Desert Knowledge CRC, there has been much progress in understanding the rules for desert survival and why these are of huge relevance today to all Australians, indeed all people. The unpredictable climate of the deserts and the scarcity of their resources in turn decree sparse populations--of humans, plants of animals--and remoteness, which puts increased emphasis on the knowledge you need for local survival, the networks you need to preserve or exchange it and the resulting rich cultural differences between desert people and others. There is also social uncertainty, against which your society needs strong and specific rules and institutions. (And, in today's world, there is the increasing powerlessness of desert peoples who are often told by outsiders how to run their lives in ways that contradict the rules for desert survival. …