The Persian Gulf in the Coming Decade: Trends, Threats, and Opportunities

The Persian Gulf in the Coming Decade: Trends, Threats, and Opportunities

The Persian Gulf in the Coming Decade: Trends, Threats, and Opportunities

The Persian Gulf in the Coming Decade: Trends, Threats, and Opportunities

Synopsis

Summarizes likely challenges to U.S. interests in the Persian Gulf in the coming decade and highlights the implications of trends in the region for the United States.

Excerpt

This report examines likely challenges to U.S. interests in the Persian Gulf region in the coming decade. in particular, the report explores the conventional military strength of Iran and Iraq, the potential for subversion, and the social and economic weaknesses of all the regional states. in addition, it seeks to identify key uncertainties and trends that may shape the region's future. It then assesses the implications of these trends for the United States, particularly the U.S. military.

The research was completed before the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States. These attacks had profound implications not only for America but also for the countries of the Persian Gulf. This report does not address the ramifications of these attacks and the U.S. response; the U.S. campaign is still unfolding and the issues are the subject of current rand research.

The project was sponsored by the Director of Operational Plans Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Air and Space Operations (HQ USAF/XOX) and took place in the Strategy and Doctrine Program of RAND's Project air force. Comments are welcomed and may be addressed to the Program Director, Dr. Ted Harshberger.

Project air force

Project air force, a division of rand, is the Air Force federally funded research and development center (FFRDC) for studies and analysis. It provides the Air Force with independent analysis of policy alternatives affecting the development, employment, combat . . .

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