Long Range Energy R&D: A Methodology for Program Development and Evaluation

Long Range Energy R&D: A Methodology for Program Development and Evaluation

Long Range Energy R&D: A Methodology for Program Development and Evaluation

Long Range Energy R&D: A Methodology for Program Development and Evaluation

Excerpt

This report presents a disciplined planning process for developing and evaluating long-term technology development options within program offices of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). This planning process provides a means of articulating long-term needs in energy research and development while accounting for the inability to predict the future, especially the distant future.

This study was commissioned by the National Energy Technology Laboratory as part of its program in support of the Office of Fossil Energy within DOE. The purpose of the study was to develop guidelines for establishing and evaluating performance targets for longrange research directed at advanced fuels and electricity generation.

This report is intended to aid senior-level federal officials responsible for establishing policies and making funding decisions that shape the research and development portfolio within the Office of Fossil Energy. The methodology presented here is also applicable to nonfossil energy technologies and therefore may be of interest to senior-level managers from other DOE offices. Other agencies that support or have cognizance over long-range research and development programs and that could benefit from this report include the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, the National Science Foundation, the National Institute for Science and Technology, and the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy.

RAND Science and Technology (S&T), a unit of the RAND Corporation, conducts research and analysis that helps government and corporate decisionmakers address opportunities and challenges created by scientific innovation and rapid technology change. The scope of RAND S&T work ranges from emerging energy technologies to global environmental change to other endeavors seeking a better understanding of the nation's scientific enterprise and how best to nurture it. Focal points of RAND S&T work include energy, the environment, information technology, aerospace issues, occupational health and safety, technology and economic development, bioethics, advanced materials, and critical technologies for industries and occupations.

RAND S&T serves a variety of clients, including federal, state, and local government agencies; foreign governments; foundations; and private organizations. RAND S&T researchers have a wide range of expertise. The staff includes physicists and geophysicists; chemists and geochemists; electrical, chemical, mechanical, and information-technology engineers; biological and environmental scientists; and economists and other social scientists.

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