Cuba after Castro: Legacies, Challenges, and Impediments

Cuba after Castro: Legacies, Challenges, and Impediments

Cuba after Castro: Legacies, Challenges, and Impediments

Cuba after Castro: Legacies, Challenges, and Impediments

Synopsis

Examines the sociopolitical legacy and economic challenges that will face a post-Castro goverment and the Cuban people themselves in the era after Castro.

Excerpt

Cuba is nearing the end of the Castro era. When that end arrives, the government that succeeds Fidel Castro—as well as the Cuban people themselves—will arrive at a decisive crossroads in the island's tumultuous history. They will need answers to the following questions: How is the legacy of Castro's 44-plus-year rule likely to affect Cuba after Castro is gone? What are the political, social, and economic challenges that a post-Castro Cuba will have to confront? What are the impediments that will need to be surmounted if Cuba is to develop economically and embark upon a democratic transition?

To help address these and other questions, this report draws on the expertise of analysts both within and outside the RAND Corporation. Edward Gonzalez, Professor Emeritus at UCLA and a member of the Adjunct Staff at RAND, and Kevin McCarthy, Senior Social Scientist at RAND, are the report's principal investigators and coauthors. Besides writing this report, they are responsible for the political and demographic studies, respectively, which are part of a companion RAND report, Cuba After Castro: Legacies, Challenges, and Impediments: Appendices, TR-131-RC, 2004. Damián J. Fernández, Professor of International Relations at Florida International University, wrote the study on youth that appears in the companion Appendices volume. Dr. Jorge F. Pérez-López, a labor economist who has written extensively on the Cuban economy, wrote the studies on the island's economy and sugar industry that also appear in the companion report. (Although it informs this report, a sixth study commissioned by RAND, which is on race issues in Cuba . . .

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