The Foreseeable Future

The Foreseeable Future

The Foreseeable Future

The Foreseeable Future

Excerpt

This book is called The Foreseeable Future, but a quick glance at its contents shows that it deals chiefly with the future of technology. The limitation is a reasonable consequence of the adjective. Technology is governed by scientific principles, some of which are understood, and there is accordingly a basis for prediction. Sociology has still to find its Newton, let alone its Planck, and prediction is guesswork.

I have supposed that developments which do not contradict known principles and which have an obvious utility will in fact be made, probably in the next hundred years. No doubt there will be discoveries which will transcend what now appear major impossibilities, but these are unpredictable, and so are the practical developments which will follow from them.

In some of what follows I have gone outside the studies of which I can claim any professional knowledge. For this rash act I ask forgiveness of those into whose coverts I have trespassed. If some of the game I have reported exists only in my imagination, at least this kind of poaching does no harm to the rightful owners, while the onlooker may occasionally see something that is both unexpected and real.

G. T.

CAMBRIDGE March 1955 . . .

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