Academic journal article Research-Technology Management

2003 State of the Future

Academic journal article Research-Technology Management

2003 State of the Future

Article excerpt

Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon; American Council for the United Nations University, 4421 Garrison St., NW, Washington, DC 20016: 96 pp. plus 2,500 pp. on CD-ROM; order at www.acunu.org/millennium/sof2003.html#order

This report presents results of a three-year study into the future management and practice of science and technology by The Millennium Project, an international think tank comprising more than 1,000 futurists, scholars, business leaders, scientists and policymakers from more than 50 countries, acting under the auspices of the American Council for the United Nations University (see "Looking Ahead," p. 6 this issue). The majority of respondents believe that the science disciplines cannot effectively self-regulate, but that it is plausible that international systems, such as the International Atomic Energy Association will be established by 2025 to monitor and regulate biotechnology, nanotechnology and other areas of scientific research and development with enforcement powers. However, they are not confident that such regulatory systems can keep up with the pace of change.

The Millennium Project study was designed to help shed light on what the future may bring. Both positive and negative results of science and technology were uncovered. For example, 70 percent of the respondents believe that dramatic increases in collective human-machine intelligence are plausible within 25 years, and 64 percent believe it is plausible that advances in cognitive science, information technology and new educational systems and/or changes in older ones will be able to significantly improve tolerance for diversity among communities of people. …

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