Academic journal article Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Insecticide-Treated Nets for Malaria Control: Real Gains

Academic journal article Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Insecticide-Treated Nets for Malaria Control: Real Gains

Article excerpt

Insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) have become an important tool in the prevention of malaria in highly endemic areas. At present, large-scale ITN programmes are being implemented in sub-Saharan Africa, Asia and Latin America using a number of operational approaches (1). However, if the targets of the Abuja Declaration, set in April 2000 at the African Summit on Roll Back Malaria, are to be reached, the scale of operations needs to be increased substantially.

No less than 81 trials and over 30 descriptive studies carried out in every type of malaria setting worldwide have documented the positive impact of ITNs on child and adult morbidity and mortality (2). In five randomized controlled trials (RCTs) an overall reduction in child mortality of 17% could be demonstrated, with six lives saved per year for every 1000 children protected. Recently, a reduction of 27% in child mortality could be demonstrated in a social marketing programme (3). Thus, the impact of ITNs seems overwhelming and public investments. in ITN programmes fully justified. Does the evidence support this assumption?

From 1995 onwards, coinciding with the results from the main African ITN trials, a vigorous debate arose about the possibility that the short-term mortality improvements observed in trials of 1-2 years' duration could be offset by increased mortality at older ages--a "delayed mortality" effect (4, 5). The underlying hypothesis was that immunity to malaria would develop more slowly under reduced transmission, leading to a longer period of susceptibility. No direct evidence was available at the time either to support or to refute this hypothesis.

The careful follow-up work by Diallo et al. in Burkina Faso reported in this issue (6) provides high-quality evidence on this matter. Although the evidence does not arise from an RCT (which it would be unethical to conduct, as the authors point out), the in-depth analysis of their results provides a convincing case for the absence of a delayed mortality effect in their setting. Overall, there was a 19-24% reduction in child mortality, which was sustained over time. The probability of a child dying before its fifth birthday was reduced from 240 per 1000 to 170 per 1000, a gain of 29%. Few other child survival interventions are currently as effective. Further, no shift in the age pattern of mortality could be detected in children under five years of age.

Similar results for all ages, based on a 5.5-year follow-up, were published recently from a nearby area in Ghana (7). No evidence for a delayed mortality pattern was found there either, despite the fact that the intervention was not maintained systematically during the follow-up period. To a lesser extent the decreased use of treated nets (from over 70% initially to 43% after five years) also affected the intervention in Burkina Faso. Therefore, failing to maintain the intervention after the end of the trial did not lead to a mortality increase in children who spent their early childhood protected by an ITN. This is an important additional finding for large-scale ITN programmes, which will always struggle to maintain high levels of protection. Historically, a similar situation was found with indoor residual spraying programmes, with children protected from birth not experiencing increased mortality after cessation of control (8).

While the evidence from Burkina Faso and Ghana is already very valuable, at least two more follow-up studies are being conducted at the present time: one in Kenya as a continuation of an RCT (9) and one in the United Republic of Tanzania comparing cohorts of users and non-users of ITNs (3). …

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