Academic journal article Military Review

FIGHTING CHANCE: Global Trends and Shocks in the National Security Environment

Academic journal article Military Review

FIGHTING CHANCE: Global Trends and Shocks in the National Security Environment

Article excerpt

FIGHTING CHANCE: Global Trends and Shocks in the National Security Environment, edited by Neyla Amas, Center for Technology and National Security Policy, National Defense University Press, Potomac Books, Washington, DC, 2009, 330 pages, $35.00.

Fighting Chance: Global Trends and Shocks in the National Security Environment is a compilation of essays by distinguished scholars meant to "stimulate a productive debate" and help establish an enduring whole-of-government approach to unforeseen crises and preserve U.S. national security interests. Each work corresponds to one of six trend categories established by the Department of Defense: conflict; demographics; economy; environment; culture, identity, and governance; and science and technology. Regional experts reflect on these trend categories within Africa, China, Europe and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, Russia, Eurasia, South Asia, and Latin America. The book assesses how probable trends, possible natural disasters, and unexpected events created by irrational actors could shape the U.S. national security environment in the future.

While sorting through the static surrounding these trends, the authors "go beyond the obvious dangers." They clearly articulate how the trends intersect and interact with each other to create possible strategic shocks and, therefore, national security concerns. Particularly interesting are the discussions regarding population, age, and ethnic demographic shifts that continue between the developed and developing world. …

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