Academic journal article Indian Foreign Affairs Journal

Future Trajectory of Sino- Indian Relations *

Academic journal article Indian Foreign Affairs Journal

Future Trajectory of Sino- Indian Relations *

Article excerpt

Since Prime Minister Modi assumed office in May 2014, there has been considerable forward movement in relations between India and China. However, the ambiguity about the Chinese aims of OBOR, the ramifications of 'China- Pakistan Economic Corridor' (CPEC) through POK, recent Chinese moves to block (though called as a 'technical hold') of India's efforts at the UN to declare Hafiz Saeed, chief of the terrorist outfit Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM) and Jama'atud- Da'wah as a 'global terrorist', increasing 'assertive' stand in the ECS and SCS, etc. tend to derail forward movement in these relations.

That China has 'risen' and is on its way to becoming a great power, with growing reach beyond its immediate periphery, both land and maritime, is quite clear. China is on course to become, in the coming years, the world's largest economy in absolute terms. It will also be among the top one to three trading nations in the world. Its defence modernization and reorganization processes continue apace.

Notwithstanding its successes, China's efforts to make friends and influence countries have not always been successful. Aggressive moves and lack of clarity on intent, while amassing military strength have not been the most effective way of doing so. Yet, China's pursuit of its self-declared and broadly defined "core interests" appears to remain on course.

It is in the above perspective that it would be useful to debate the future trajectory of Sino-Indian relations over the next few years. The advantage that we have is that our own political structures are strong (albeit often overly self-critical) and the trajectory of our growth and development is high and sustainable. We have also had reasonable success in expanding our network of friends and partners not only in the Indo-Pacific but also in the Asia- Pacific Region. …

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