Academic journal article Mankind Quarterly

The Future of the World 2000-2050

Academic journal article Mankind Quarterly

The Future of the World 2000-2050

Article excerpt

The author examines demographic pressures and economic trends and forecasts worldwide chaos by the middle of the twenty-first century.

Key Words: World population; Globalization; International trade; Overpopulation; Third World crisis, World health.

Optimists

Optimists are still enthused with visions of amity and reciprocity and the belief that as a result of the forthcoming global economy, the world population, to probably number between 9 and 10 billion persons by 2050, will live together in harmony. Today, a torrent of taxation wealth from the developed nations pours out not only to their own poor but also the poor of the underdeveloped world, through the aegis of international organizations, the World bank, CARE, the International Monetary Fund, and the various Agencies of the United Nations, as well as bilateral aid of all sorts from the temporarily rich nations to the poor.

Tomorrow, the overseers of this flood of taxed wealth suggest, this will change. The poor will be rich.

The current shakedown of the West by the poor nations' wealthy representatives in the international organizations continues anon. The international bureaucracy, intent on perpetuating its own powers and privileges, constantly ramps up the din for redistribution, with the seductive dream of world prosperity down the decades.

Thus the only policy solution, ever-inflated expenditures to try to rebuild Africa, Latin America, and South Asia. Why? The answer is: ideological paralysis!

There have been skeptics during the past fifty years. Sir Peter Bauer notoriously described foreign aid as: "[t]he phenomenon of taxing poor people in rich countries to support the lifestyles of rich people in poor countries."

Such doubters about the wisdom of throwing good monies after bad, are shown examples such as the Marshal plan after World War II, which did rehabilitate Europe, including former enemies, and Japan. Today these are powerful and wealthy nations. The exemplars in Northeast Asia include Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia, South Korea, the latter a success even after suffering the devastation of war, 1950-1953.

Thus, bureaucratic liberalism argues, if the above countries could prosper after aid from the international community, and then independently build themselves up, why not others, once we get the combination right? After all, fifty years of profligate failure in the "developing world" is only prologue to a best yet to come!

This dream-land scenario of the global organizations is truly inspiring: a middle class world of prosperous, democratically-oriented peoples and nations, well-educated in the Western scientific modality. A bonus, symbolized by the United Nations and other international institutions, is that we will also attain to a more peaceful world. This twenty-first century, we are assured, will be a better place then the past for the nine or ten billion people who will fill the cubicles on Earth.

Forget about the twentieth century, when perhaps 200 million people were destroyed in national or international wars, and by their own governments. Forget about the irrationally ugly beginnings of the twenty-first century. Give us more of your wealth, your taxes, the sweat and blood of your daily exertions.

The Great Hope: A Global Technological Economy

The keystone to this short term international process of social engineering is the expectation that the advanced information technology which has exploded so mightily in North America, Western Europe, Northeast Asia, and amongst the upper echelon of educated Indians in South Asia will spread throughout the world, bring us all together in a new international culture.

The spread of computer, broadband information technology, an infrastructure allowing people to move around, to see their own nation develop as well as other nations on the mend, will create educational institutions allied to the Western tradition, as has happened among the Northeast Asians, now including 1. …

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