Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland

Articles

Vol. 42, Annual

Estimating the Effects of Land-Use and Catchment Characteristics on Lake Water Quality: Irish Lakes 2004-2009
1. INTRODUCTION Surface water resources have a range of important functions. They provide drinking water, sustain biodiversity and constitute an important tourism and recreation resource. Poor water quality impacts on all of these and, thus, maintaining...
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The Impact of Changes in Educational Attainment on Life Expectancy in Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION This article looks at scenarios quantifying the potential contribution of increasing educational attainment to the prospective improvement in life expectancy in Ireland over the next 50 years. This analysis uses recently published...
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Reform of Public Policy-Making in Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION: PUBLIC POLICYMAKING REDISCOVERED? One of the more prominent issues to emerge from the recent economic crisis has been a concern about the method and quality of policy-making in Ireland. This concern has been specifically raised...
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Politicians, the Bureaucracy and Economic Policymaking over Two Crises: The 1950s and Today
1. INTRODUCTION The usual articulation of the separation of powers--as between the executive, the legislature and the judiciary relates more to the US system than it does to ours. The fact that the legislature in Ireland (and Britain) has much less...
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Proceedings of the Statistical and Social Inquiry of Ireland: One Hundred and Sixty-Sixth Session: 2012/2013
First Meeting The first ordinary meeting of the Society was held at 4:00pm on Thursday 4th October 2012 at the CSO, Skehard Road, Cork. The President, Mr Paul Sweeney, was in the Chair. Professor Tim Callan and Ms Claire Keane (ESRI) delivered a...
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Northern Ireland Composite Economic Index: Development of a Quarterly Output Measure for NI
1. INTRODUCTION Existing official statistics produced by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) provide information on quarterly private sector output in the Production, Construction and Services sectors and for both Public...
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An Inquiry into the Declining Labour Share of National Income and the Consequences for Economies and Societies
1. INTRODUCTION For over three decades, the share of national income going to labour in most developed countries has been in decline. This trend may have major consequences for economies, with reduced demand and also for societies, where social...
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Researchers Imply, Policymakers Infer: The Relationship between Evidence and Policy
Inspector Flint: "You're inferring that we're all thick aren't you?" Wilt: "No, no ... I am implying that you are all thick, you are inferring it." Wilt, Tom Sharpe 1. INTRODUCTION The analysis to follow rests on the straightforward claim...
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Effects of R&D Spending on Innovation by Irish and Foreign-Owned Businesses
1. INTRODUCTION This paper estimates the effect of research and development (R&D) spending on the probability of innovation by Irish and foreign-owned businesses. Since the late 1990s, the Irish government has set an objective, through tax incentives...
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Identifying Policy Impacts in the Crisis: Microsimulation Evidence on Tax and Welfare
1. INTRODUCTION Household incomes in Ireland have been hit hard by a succession of adverse factors during recent years. The ending of the property bubble, an unparalleled banking crisis, a global recession, and a fiscal crisis have led to a severe...
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Vol. 41, Annual

Credit Access for Small and Medium Firms: Survey Evidence for Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION Ireland experienced an unprecedented credit boom in the years leading up to 2008. Outstanding credit to private sector Irish resident firms grew by 194% between 2003 and the peak in March 2009, as shown in Figure 0. Since then, credit...
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The Dynamics of Ireland's Net External Position
1. INTRODUCTION At the end of 2006, Ireland's net external position (the value of its foreign assets minus its foreign liabilities) was minus 5.3 percent of GDP; at the end of 2009, it stood at minus 103.1 percent of GDP. Although the net external...
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Wage Bill Change in Ireland during Recession-How Have Employers Reacted to the Downturn
1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 General Background The evidence presented in this paper focuses on explaining how employers have acted in trying to adjust their total wage bill between 2009 and 2011. This is an update of analysis previously published in...
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The Real Value of House Prices: What the Cost of Accommodation Can Tell Policymakers
1. INTRODUCTION Choice of residence is one of the most important economic decisions a household makes. The very unequal spread of populations and economic activity within countries and around the world suggests that there are both centripetal forces...
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Breaking the Cycle of Deprivation: An Experimental Evaluation of an Early Childhood Intervention
1. INTRODUCTION Deprivation early in life has multiple long term consequences for both the individual and society in general. The consequences of being raised in disadvantaged circumstances are significant, as socioeconomic inequalities in children's...
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Housing Equity Withdrawal, Property Bubbles and Consumption
1. INTRODUCTION In most developed countries housing wealth represents the largest share of net worth on the household balance sheet. In Ireland, the housing boom and bust over the last decade led to a rapid rise and fall in the value of housing...
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Trade, Energy, and Carbon Dioxide: An Analysis for the Two Economies of Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION Policy measures targeted at one sector in one jurisdiction affect other sectors and jurisdictions through trade. Input-output models describe such interactions. Input-output models, first developed by Leontief (1941), combine transparency...
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Vol. 40, Annual

From Data to Policy Analysis: Tax-Benefit Modelling Using SILC 2008
1. INTRODUCTION Policy makers and the body politic have a strong interest in ensuring that the tax transfer system functions well. This common interest in policies that are efficient in achieving their objectives including economic efficiency and...
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Predicting Turning Points in the Rent Cycle Using the Natural Vacancy Rate an Applied Study of the Dublin Office Market
1. INTRODUCTION The vacancy rate promises to be a key variable for understanding commercial property markets because it encapsulates both supply and demand conditions. However, while it is commonly expected that a high vacancy rate will exert downward...
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The Economic and Fiscal Contribution of US Investment in Ireland
1 INTRODUCTION It is well known that Ireland is an exceptionally open economy relative to its size. Whether measuring investment flows or exports and imports of goods and services, Ireland is ranked as one of the most open economies in the European...
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A Study of the NUTS 2 Administrative Regions Using Input-Output Analysis
1. INTRODUCTION In 1966, Roy Geary, Director of the ESRI, giving a series of lectures on Input- Output (I-O) tables, noted "the absence of any kind of import and export statistics for regions is a grave lacuna" and further noted that if regional...
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Terrorism, Tourism and FDI: Estimating a Lower Bound on the Peace Dividend in Northern Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION Should the Northern Ireland Assembly intervene with respect to terrorist activity in Northern Ireland? (2) If so, to what extent should resources be allocated to pursue a counter terrorist strategy of intervention? From an economic...
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Building Research Capacity in the Social Sciences-Alternatives Approaches
1. INTRODUCTION In contrast to previous decades, the past decade has seen major investments by the Irish government in the national research capacity. As part of this investment, there has been a significant investment in the social sciences with...
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Research and Policy-Making-Strengthening the Link
1. INTRODUCTION Basing policy decisions on the most complete evidence should lead to better outcomes. This may not be a controversial position but perhaps it is worth restating. This paper considers the role of research and analysis in the policy-making...
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Constructing a National House Price Index for Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION On May 13th, the CSO published the first set of results for Its Residential Property Price Index (RPPI) ahead of an Impending EU legislative requirement to provide RPPI data to Eurostat from 2012. The hedonically mix-adjusted Index...
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The Demography of Ageing and Future Policy Impacts: A Northern Ireland Perspective
1. INTRODUCTION One of the most significant changes in the make-up of the Northern Ireland population has been the relative ageing of the population. Population ageing is not unique to Northern Ireland; indeed it is being witnessed across the world....
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Laws and Constitution of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland
As amended on 11 December 2008 1. The title of the Society shall be The Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland. The object of the Society shall be the promotion of the study of statistics, jurisprudence, and social and economic science....
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Individual Members (* Life Members)
Ahern, Ms Michelle, Gardenfield, Newcastle West, Co Limerick. Allen, Mr Frank, 12 Edenvale Road, Ranelagh, Dublin 6. Arnold, Mr Thomas, Department of Agriculture, Kildare Street, Dublin 2. Balanda, Professor Kevin P., Institute of Public Health...
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List of Group Members
Corporate members AIB Bank plc Dr. Paul J. Quigley, Group Risk Bank Centre PO Box 452 Ballsbridge Dublin 4 Bord Gais Eireann Mr Gerry Walsh Gasworks Road Mr W. Roche Cork Bord...
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Proceedings of the Statistical and Social Inquiry of Ireland One Hundred and Sixty-Fourth Session: 2010/2011
First Meeting The first meeting of the Society was held at 4:00pm on Thursday 30th September 2010 at the Central Statistics Office, Skehard Road, Cork. The President, Mr Paul Sweeney, was in the Chair. Professor Tim Callan delivered a paper co-authored...
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Annual

The Barrington Lecture 2009: Well-Being under Conditions of Abundance: Ireland from 1990-2007
1. OVERVIEW Saorstat Eireann came into being in 1921, with a population of approximately 3 million, the vast majority of whom are now deceased. Since then, over five million people have been born in the state, and approximately 3.7 million Irish-born...
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Exploring Population Projections: Sources of Uncertainty and the User Perspective
1. INTRODUCTION The future is inherently uncertain. That is why users of statistics look to official population projections to help in planning for the future across a range of government functions. In framing policies and making decisions on the...
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Family Businesses in the Irish Services Sector: Profile and Productivity
1. INTRODUCTION Type "family business" into any Internet search engine or browse through the business supplement of any newspaper and the results will yield all sorts of interesting facts and figures, such as: "Family-owned firms account for...
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Pension Insecurity in Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION One hundred years ago to this month there was a revolution in social welfare provision in Ireland: the Old Age Pension began to be paid. The Old Age Pension, or following its renaming in 2006, the "State Pension", had a profound...
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Exploring the Economic Geography of Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION In modern economies economic activity is not spread evenly across space. This is also holds in Ireland, yet the spatial distribution of economic activity in Ireland has received relatively little attention by researchers. The few...
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Proceedings of the Statistical and Social Inquiry of Ireland: One Hundred and Sixty-Second Session: 2008/2009
First Meeting The first meeting of the Society was held at 6:00pm on Thursday 2nd October 2008 in the Royal Irish Academy, Dawson Street, Dublin. The President, Dr Donal de Buitleir, was in the Chair, and he held the first of two required votes...
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Towards Regional Environmental Accounts for Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION Environmental accounts for the Republic of Ireland have been presented at the national scale. This makes sense for some emissions--e.g., it does not matter whether greenhouse gases are emitted in Wexford or in Donegal--but other...
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HealthStat: Measuring the Performance of the Irish Public Health Service
1. INTRODUCTION HealthStat is a tool for measuring the performance of the Irish public health service. It consists of a data collection process, the production of performance statistics in graphical dashboard format and a monthly accountability...
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Annual

Annual Symposium: Recent Trends in Mortality and Morbidity in Ireland: Changing Morbidity Patterns in Ireland 1996-2006
1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background In Ireland, since the year 1980 standardised mortality rates have reduced significantly. It is estimated that the Standardised Mortality Rate in 2005 was approximately 60% of what it was in 1980 [1]. This improvement...
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Annual Symposium: Recent Trends in Mortality and Morbidity in Ireland: Wealthier and Healthier: Ireland's Demographic Catch-Up
1. INTRODUCTION In the first half of this paper I summarise the trend in Irish deaths rates over the period 1973-2006. In the second half I discuss some possible explanations of these trends. 2. THE RECENT DECLINE IN IRISH MORTALITY RATES ...
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Second Tier Child Income Support: The Case for Innovation
1. INTRODUCTION This paper examines the five current instruments which deliver child income support in order to assess the case for adopting a new form of targeting children in low income households. Sections 2 and 3 briefly invoke the origins...
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Is Irish Innovation Policy Working? Evidence from Irish Technology Businesses
1. INTRODUCTION This paper employs survey-based evidence on Irish high-technology businesses to explore the drivers of innovation in what are regarded by policymakers as the key sectors for Ireland's future competitiveness. It employs multivariate...
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Barrington Lecture 2007/08: Wage Inflation and Structural Unemployment in Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION The notion of a structural rate of unemployment is central to dominant economic theories explaining labour market behaviour and the relationship between unemployment and inflation. Structural unemployment estimates for a small...
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An Exercise in Surveying a Non-Universally Defined Group in the Population: The Northern Ireland Survey of Activity Limitation and Disability
1. BACKGROUND At its most objective level disability is a continuum, a line along which everyone in a population can be placed. However, an individual's position on this line is likely to change over their lifetime. Additionally, their position...
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Environmental Accounts for the Republic of Ireland: 1990-2005
1. INTRODUCTION Environmental accounts provide information on emissions and resource use. Environmental accounts are so-called satellite accounts to the national accounts, which provide a comprehensive framework to present economic data in a...
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Using a Household Budget Survey to Measure Healthy Eating Patterns
1. INTRODUCTION Having a healthy diet is one of the most important things you can do to help your overall health. Along with physical activity, your diet is the key factor that affects your weight. Having a healthy weight for your height is important....
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Proceedings of the Statistical and Social Inquiry of Ireland: One Hundred and Sixty-First Session: 2007/2008
First Meeting The first meeting of the Society was held in the Royal Irish Academy, on Thursday, 25th October 2007, at 6:00 pm. The President, Dr. Donal de Buitleir, was in the Chair. At start of meeting, the President announced with sadness...
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Annual Symposium: Recent Trends in Mortality and Morbidity in Ireland: Projecting Population Mortality for Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION Increasing human longevity in the more advanced nations is one of the greatest social achievements over the last one-hundred and fifty years. In Ireland, life expectancy began to increase markedly from the last years of the nineteenth...
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Annual

Housing in Ireland: Philosophy, Affordability and Access
1. INTRODUCTION The provision of good quality, affordable housing has been a matter of concern in Ireland for many years and successive governments have intervened in a variety of ways to improve standards, provision and access. Significant progress...
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A Statistical Profile of Irish Domestic Tourism, 2000-2005
1. INTRODUCTION The 2000-2005 period has been a challenging time for tourism. International events, such as September 11, the London and Madrid bombings, SARS, the Afghan and Iraq Wars, the Stephen's Day Tsunami, Hurricane Katrina and Avian flu...
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Barrington Lecture 2006/07: Association Rule Analysis of CAO Data
This lecture is delivered under the auspices of the Barrington Trust (founded by the bequest of John Barrington, Esq.) with the collaboration of the Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland. 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background...
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Demographic Trends and the Future of Pensions in the UK
1. INTRODUCTION The second report of the Pensions Commission (PC, 2005), of which the author was a member, was published in November 2005. This paper summarises the evidence and arguments behind the Commission's recommendations. A fundamental part...
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Marriage, Fertility and the Family in Ireland-A Statistical Perspective
1. INTRODUCTION The paper examines the changes that have occurred in trends relating to marriage, fertility, and the family in Ireland. The main data sources used are the annual vital statistics on marriages and births and the five yearly Censuses...
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A Review of Recent Trends in Output, Employment and Productivity in Ireland
1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 General Background: Sources The purpose of this report is to review trends in real output, employment and labour productivity in Ireland over the period since 1995. The analysis is basically of a macro nature, set within the...
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Trinity Week Academic Symposium: Open Access Revolution: The Local and National Context
The title of this Academic Symposium comes from a paper read before Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland on Thursday, 14th January 1897, which refers to "the grievances of prejudiced patriots or the dreams of statisticians" (Synnott, 1897)....
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Trinity Week Academic Symposium: Origins, Mission and Significance
This symposium celebrates the launch of a dedicated website of the proceedings of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, and its direct ancestor the Dublin Statistical Society. The Dublin Statistical Society was founded on 23 November...
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Trinity Week Academic Symposium: Public Policy Partnerships
1. CHANGE IN THE IRISH CIVIL SERVICE The Irish Civil Service, probably like a lot of workplaces, has changed almost beyond recognition in the past 35 years. In the 1970s, almost all internal communication was in writing and it was common place for...
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Annual Symposium: Delivering Integrated Policy and Services for Children
1. INTRODUCTION The Irish Public Service has been relatively strong historically in the area of policy formulation. I have come to the conclusion, however, that we are relatively weak when it comes to implementation and many good policies fail due...
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Trinity Week Academic Symposium: Data for Policy and Research
The availability of high quality statistical data on economic and social conditions is a fundamental prerequisite for ensuring an effective partnership between policy makers and academic researchers in contributing to the development and monitoring...
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Launch of the On-Line Archive of the Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland 1847-2007: 16th May 2007
The journals of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland provide a remarkable record of both the events and the ideas of the past 160 years. They relate mainly to Ireland but they reflect the views and enthusiasms that swept through Britain,...
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Proceedings of the Statistical and Social Inquiry of Ireland: One Hundred and Sixtieth Session: 2006/2007
First Meeting The first meeting of the session was held in the Royal Irish Academy, on Thursday, 19th October 2006, at 6:30 pm. The President, Aidan Punch, was in the Chair when Mr. Jerry Sexton presented a paper entitled, A Review of Recent Trends...
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