The Journal of Business Forecasting Methods & Systems

Articles from Vol. 18, No. 3, Fall

Bayesian Modeling Enhances Supply Chain Forecasting and Planning
Dynamic linear modeling (DLM) works better for products with sporadic demand as well as where data pattern changes abruptly ... model learns itself from the data and then makes necessary changes to improve the forecasts ... in this changing environment,...
Editorial: Sales Forecasting at the Dawn of the New Millennium?
As another decade closes, we can safely say that sales forecasting will play a key role in the next millennium as the landscape begins to reshape itself for the next array of new business initiatives. Forecasting has survived the raft of the re-engineering...
Integration of Different Forecasting Models
Different business functions need different forecasts ... shows how a forecaster can integrate different models to arrive at different forecasts ... updating of forecasts is the key to their success, shows when and how they should be updated. Corporations...
International Economic Outlook
1. The Long-Term Global Outlook The baseline long-term forecast for the world economy through 2008 points to continuation of growth with a risk of a global recession at the beginning of the new century. The world's output is expected to grow at an average...
New Developments in Business Forecasting
HOW ABOUT COLLABORATIVE FORECASTING? (This is an ongoing column in The Journal, which is intended to give a brief view on a potential topic of interest to practitioners of business forecasting. Suggestions on topics that you would like to see covered...
The Impact of Forecasting on Return on Shareholders's Value
High level executives are more concerned with the impact of forecast accuracy on shareholder value than on forecast accuracy per se ... shows by how much a company increased its shareholder value by improving the forecast accuracy ... describes steps...
The Outlook for United States Corporate Earnings
EXPECTED GROWTH The September survey of 4,082 security analysts affiliated with 338 institutional equity research firms, conducted by the Institutional Brokers Estimate System (I/B/E/S-U.S. edition), is forecasting a 16.8% increase in U.S. corporate...
The Strategic Power of Consensus Forecasting: Setting Your Organization Up to Win
Outlines basic steps needed to develop a consensus approach for strategic planning ... one number forecast is the key to the success of any forecasting process ... different functions look at business differently it's important that Forecaster remains...
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