Magazine article The Futurist

Wild Cards in Our Future

Magazine article The Futurist

Wild Cards in Our Future

Article excerpt

In the January 2009 issue of Futurist Update, the World Future Society's free e-newsletter, we invited readers to submit their ideas of "wild cards" that futurists need to be looking at critically right now. This section showcases a few of the responses.

[ILLUSTRATION OMITTED]

What is a wild card? According to FUTURIST editor Edward Cornish, author of Futuring: The Exploration of the Future, a wild card is "an unexpected event that would have enormous consequences if it actually occurred."

[ILLUSTRATION OMITTED]

Many wild cards are disasters, such as an asteroid striking the Earth. However, a wild card might be highly beneficial, such as a revolutionary energy technology that emits zero carbon dioxide, or a surge of peaceful co-existence among long-standing enemies.

The "advantage" of disaster scenarios, in terms of futurists, is that they give clear and urgent reasons for thinking ahead, whereas the possibility of a pleasant surprise does not normally inspire a need for planning. …

Search by... Author
Show... All Results Primary Sources Peer-reviewed

Oops!

An unknown error has occurred. Please click the button below to reload the page. If the problem persists, please try again in a little while.