Magazine article The Wilson Quarterly

Party Time: Hispanics on the Fence

Magazine article The Wilson Quarterly

Party Time: Hispanics on the Fence

Article excerpt

At first glance, the growing number of Hispanics in the United States looks like great news for the Democrats. In last year's elections for Congress, Democrats attracted some 60 percent of the Hispanic vote, while Republicans got just 38 percent. Hispanics now represent around 15 percent of the American population. They're projected to account for as much as one-quarter by 2050.

But in Miller-McCune magazine (May-June), Norman H. Nie and three coauthors argue that the Hispanic vote is still up for grabs. According to their analysis, the high vote for Democrats in 2010 and earlier years reflects demographic factors other than ethnicity. Younger voters tend to vote Democratic, as do less educated voters. Hispanics are currently younger and less educated than blacks or non-Hispanic whites. Controlling for age and education, the authors find that Hispanics aren't yet rooted in either party.

"Hispanics don't have the generational partisan ties that most of us inherit along with our religious affiliation," says Nie, a political scientist at Stanford University. …

Search by... Author
Show... All Results Primary Sources Peer-reviewed

Oops!

An unknown error has occurred. Please click the button below to reload the page. If the problem persists, please try again in a little while.