Magazine article Mortgage Banking

'Modest Growth' in Construction Predicted for 2013

Magazine article Mortgage Banking

'Modest Growth' in Construction Predicted for 2013

Article excerpt

U.S. construction starts will likely increase 6 percent next year to $483.7 billion, the 2013 Dodge Construction Outlook reported.

New construction starts edged up 2 percent in 2010, followed by another i percent gain in 2011, and 2012'S expected 5 percent increase will take the annual figure to $458 billion, the report said.

"This still leaves the volume of total construction starts 32 percent below the 2005 peak on a current-dollar basis and down about 5o percent when viewed on a constant-dollar basis," said Robert Murray, McGraw-Hill Construction's vice president of economic affairs. McGraw-Hill Construction publishes the industry forecast.

"The modest gains experienced during the past two years have in effect produced an extended bottom for construction starts, in which the process of recovery is being stretched out," Murray said.

The report said multifamily housing could rise 16 percent (in dollar terms; 14 percent in unit terms) next year, marking healthy percentage gains but slower growth than 2011 and 2012. "Improved market fundamentals will help to justify new construction, and this structure type continues to be viewed favorably by the real estate finance community," the report said. …

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