Magazine article The Futurist

Best Predictions of the Year: Proceed with Caution

Magazine article The Futurist

Best Predictions of the Year: Proceed with Caution

Article excerpt

In the last issue of THE FUTURIST, the annual Outlook report offered a roundup of the year's best forecasts appearing in our magazine. In this issue, we see what nonfuturists had to say about the future during 2013.

Many people who define their profession as "futurist" are loathe to make actual predictions; that's because we know it's more useful .to create the future than predict it. But nonfuturists who are experts in their fields have a keen sense of what is important and probable, and so it is valuable to take a look at their visions of what may happen and why they think so.

In some cases, a prediction might actually be a goal, such as Nissan's declaration that it will sell self-driving cars to the public by 2020. In other cases, the prediction is based on data and what may happen if trends are not altered: hence, World Health Organization's forecast of a billion tobacco-related deaths by the end of the century. In both cases--and for the others in this report--the editors of THE FUTURIST looked at the authority of the prediction and its potential impacts for our future. See "The Best Predictions of 2013," beginning on page 31.

What is different about the way that futurists look at the future versus nonfuturists? …

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