Magazine article Foreign Policy

The Futurist

Magazine article Foreign Policy

The Futurist

Article excerpt

French military commander Ferdinand Foch decried the signing of the Treaty of Versailles, the accord that ended World War I, reportedly proclaiming: "This is not a peace treaty. It is an armistice for 20 years."

In 1997, economist Milton Friedman foresaw that a common currency in Europe would transform "divergent shocks that could have been readily accommodated by exchange rate changes into divisive political issues."

Prior to South Sudan's independence in 2011, Maj. Gen. Scott Gration, U.S. special envoy to Sudan, told Time, "This place could go down in flames tomorrow. The probability of failure is great."

In his 1994 posthumous book, Beyond Peace, former U.S. President Richard Nixon warned that post-Soviet Russia "remains vulnerable to extreme nationalists and reactionaries intent on reversing free-market and democratic reforms."

The U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff cautioned in a 1947 memorandum that the partition of Palestine would allow the Soviet Union to gain influence in the region and jeopardize the United States' access to oil.

Speaking about the 1990 negotiations that would lead to the end of apartheid, historian George Fredrickson predicted that if South Africa's leaders agreed to full democracy, a "racial civil war [would be] virtually inevitable. …

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