Magazine article Black Issues in Higher Education

Projected Enrollment Growth, Public Higher Education

Magazine article Black Issues in Higher Education

Projected Enrollment Growth, Public Higher Education

Article excerpt

According to the Educational Testing Service's study "Crossing the Great Divide: Can We Achieve Equity with Generation Y" (2000), African American, Hispanic and Asian/Pacific Islander students will account for 80 percent of the increase in undergraduates by 2015, or about 2 million of the 2.6 million new students. As a group, minorities will increase their combined share of the undergraduate population from 29.4 percent to 37.2. The study goes on to say that since the number of Hispanic and Asian undergraduates will rise more swiftly, the percentage of Black undergraduates will change only marginally, remaining near 13 percent. Although California, Texas and Florida are expected to experience the greatest growth in enrollment for all groups, Texas, Georgia and Florida are expected to experience the largest gains in Black undergraduates. By 2015, Hispanics are expected to be the largest college-going minority. In addition, 600,000 of the 2.6 million additional undergraduates in 2015 will come from increased enrollment of Asians, with significant growth in California.

Enrollment Growth: By Race/Ethnicity

2000-2015 (by race/ethnicity)

Overall growth total     15.9%
White                     5.2%
Black                    18.0%
Asian/PI                 60.1%
Hispanic                 52.3%

SOURCE: AMERICAN ASSOCIATION
OF STATE COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES,
STATE FISCAL CONDITIONS,
SEPT. 2002, EDUCATIONAL TESTING
SERVICE (ETS)

[ILLUSTRATION OMITTED]

Average total tuition and net-tuition full-time full-year
undergraduates

Public 4-year research          Public 4-year compre-
& doctoral institutions         hensive & baccalaureate
                                institutions

Total tuition *                 Total tuition
1992-1993              $3,997   1992-1993         $2,896
1999-2000              $4,772   1999-2000         $3,362

Net tuition 1 **                Net tuition 1
1992-1993              $3,544   1992-1993         $2,275
1999-2000              $4,208   1999-2000         $2,669

Net tuition 2 ***               Net tuition 2
1992-1993              $2,973   1992-1993         $1,947
1999-2000              $3,193   1999-2000         $2,076

Private not-for-profit          Public 2-Year
4-year research &               institutions
doctoral institutions

Total tuition                   Total tuition
1992-1993            $16,279    1992-1993        $1,391
1999-2000            $19,689    1999-2000        $1,580

Net tuition 1                   Net tuition 1
1992-1993            $15,817    1992-1993        $1,009
1999-2000            $19,071    1999-2000        $1,135

Net tuition 2                   Net tuition 2
1992-1993            $11,660    1992-1993          $873
1999-2000            $12,519    1999-2000          $927

* Includes all tuition and fees charged during the academic year. … 
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