Magazine article Workforce

Will HR Go Free-Lance by 2008?

Magazine article Workforce

Will HR Go Free-Lance by 2008?

Article excerpt

Futurist David Pearce Snyder, the life styles editor for The Futurist magazine, has been in the forecasting business for more than 30 years and is known to viewers of "Nightline," the "Today Show," CNN and MSNBC. He and his partner, Dr. Gregg Edwards, are the authors of "Future Forces" (1984) and "America in the 1990s" (1992), both published by the Washington, D.C.-based American Society of Association Executives. He believes there's a major change coming to the world of human resources that wasn't surfaced by the "HR 2008" study.

"The reality is that the job is going away," says Snyder. "The list of fixed skills and responsibilities we call a job will be a thing of the past in the age of the unbundled enterprise. Jobs are going away because the large bureaucracies that require them are going away."

Snyder believes downsizing and outsourcing are more than just management fashions. "Over the next five to 10 years," he says, "large organizations will see a reduction in the ranks of permanent, career employees of about twothirds. In the 21st-century enterprise, 35 percent of the workforce will be a core career cadre of permanent employees, 25 percent will be outsourced suppliers of components and support services, 25 percent will be contingent workers and 15 percent will be contract specialists. …

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