Magazine article Global Finance

Growth amid Uncertainty

Magazine article Global Finance

Growth amid Uncertainty

Article excerpt

Global trade has spent the last few quarters defying expectations. While the globalization backlash continues, and bilateral issues have arisen here and there, trade so far this year is growing faster than in 2016. It's also flowing in new patterns. Having seen some contradictory trade numbers, we felt the need to dig deeper. The result is this month's cover story, which provides some clarity on the apparent contradictions and illustrates the strong link between trade and economic growth.

Current trade growth takes place despite geopolitical strife and rising protectionism-in both rhetoric and action. Summer months, at least in most of the Western world, traditionally bring not only high temperatures but often unexpected tensions and uncertainties. Still, business goes on. That explains the optimistic outlook presented by several economists for the rest of this year, and particularly the growth prospects of both advanced and emerging economies. …

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