Magazine article National Defense

New Analytics Tool Could Help Military Leaders

Magazine article National Defense

New Analytics Tool Could Help Military Leaders

Article excerpt

* An emerging analytics tool may assist military leaders in making better decisions on the battlefield by predicting the motives of adversaries.

Known as abductive reasoning, the concept takes advantage of advancements in machine learning, said Rick Pavlik, director of analytics and machine intelligence at Polaris Alpha, a defense and intelligence agency contractor.

"Abduction is all about having a set of observations or evidence and trying to come up with the ... root cause or an explanation that would describe the observations that we're seeing," he said.

Humans have used abductive reasoning since the beginning of mankind, but there is now a large demand to automate it, Pavlik said. "There appears to be a lot of momentum."

Such technology could be beneficial for those in the military or intelligence communities, Pavlik added. In one potential scenario the United States government could be concerned if it saw a large number of Russian military units deploying out of garrison. A U.S. commander may wonder if the activity meant Moscow was planning an imminent attack. However, there are other explanations that would need to be considered, for which abductive reasoning could potentially account. …

Search by... Author
Show... All Results Primary Sources Peer-reviewed

Oops!

An unknown error has occurred. Please click the button below to reload the page. If the problem persists, please try again in a little while.