Newspaper article The Evening Standard (London, England)

SURGE FOR BREXIT IN DRAMATIC POLL; Leave Camp Races into Six-Point Lead across the Country with a Week to goMore People Think They Will Be Better off in Five Years If Britain Quits EU

Newspaper article The Evening Standard (London, England)

SURGE FOR BREXIT IN DRAMATIC POLL; Leave Camp Races into Six-Point Lead across the Country with a Week to goMore People Think They Will Be Better off in Five Years If Britain Quits EU

Article excerpt

Byline: Joe Murphy Political Editor exclusive

THE campaign to quit the European Union has surged into a six-point lead with exactly a week to go, a sensational exclusive poll for the Evening Standard reveals today.

In a dramatic turnaround since last month, 53 per cent of Britons now want to leave and 47 per cent want to stay, excluding don't knows.

It is the first time since David Cameron pledged the referendum in January 2013 that Vote Leave has come out ahead in the respected monthly Ipsos MORI telephone survey.

Immigration has overtaken the economy as the most important issue affecting how the public will vote, a significant boost to Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign. The survey results come as Chancellor George Osborne claimed that Britons have "one week to save London" from being seriously damaged by a Brexit -- and Bank of England Governor Mark Carney hit back at four senior Tory Brexiters who made an extraordinary attack on the institution, accusing it of "peddling phoney forecasts".

The poll reveals massive distrust over claims by politicians on both sides but especially over the predictions of doom after a Brexit made by the Prime Minister and Mr Osborne -- dubbed Project Fear by critics. Among key findings: Only 17 per cent of people believe the Chancellor's flagship claim that UK households will lose PS4,300 and be permanently poorer after a Brexit, despite the analysis carrying Continued on Page 2 Continued from Page 1 ?????the full weight of the Treasury. Some 70 per cent think it is a falsehood

Almost half believe Mr Johnson is telling the truth when he says that Britain sends PS350 million a week to the EU, even though the claim has been criticised as misleading by independent experts. It is believed by 47 per cent and disbelieved by 39 per cent.

More people feel they will be better off in five years outside the EU, despite Government warnings of lost jobs and lower incomes if Britain leaves.

Immigration is now the most critical issue, cited as very important to their vote by 33 per cent, up five points.

The economy has fallen to second place in the table of important issues, down five points to 28 per cent.

A fifth of people say they might change their mind, which means the outcome is impossible to predict.

Strikingly, in the battle of claim and counter-claim it is Mr Cameron who is coming off worst. Ipsos MORI tested public attitudes to some of the most bitterly contested claims by both sides, and discovered markedly greater scepticism about what Remain is saying. For example, Mr Cameron listed six "complete untruths" by Vote Leave last week, including a claim that the UK is liable for future eurozone bailouts. However, the poll found 48 per cent think the claim is true and just 40 per cent think it is false. …

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