Newspaper article The Florida Times Union

CLIMATE Things Change

Newspaper article The Florida Times Union

CLIMATE Things Change

Article excerpt

Not getting enough water lately? If the global warming alarmists are right, there will be all you want if you can wait 100 years.

Predicting a century ahead, the Pew Center on Global Climate Change says:

"Climate change is likely to accelerate the historical rise in sea level through warming of oceans and melting of ice, which in turn will affect coastal development, wetland resources, and recreation along the U.S. coast.

"... The areas in the United States most vulnerable to sea-level rise are in the mid-Atlantic and south-Atlantic states (because of their low-lying topography, high economic value, and relatively high storm frequency) and along the Gulf Coast."

That includes the First Coast.

It goes on to say:

"National assessments suggest that a one-meter rise in global sea levels could have significant impacts, including the inundation of about 13,000 square miles of land, divided about equally between wetlands and upland."

Scary stuff. If the sea did rise one meter (39 inches) in a century, it could be catastrophic.

Fortunately, the report also notes that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concludes that increases in global temperatures over the next century could accelerate the historical rate of global mean sea-level rise from 1 to 2.5 millimeters per year to about 5 mm/year, with an uncertainty range of 2 to 9 mm/year.

In other words, the sea might rise 5 millimeters a year. The catastrophic inundation scenario is based on the worst case, but the rise -- if any -- could be as little as 2 millimeters, about the same it has been.

In any case, the prospect of Jacksonville being submerged in water is scarcely less daunting than what Newsweek said the world faced 25 years ago. In April 1975, the magazine reported the possibility of an impending new ice age. …

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